TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Little Rock: Blake Ellis vs Tyler Zink

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tyler Zinkof Blake Ellis, Tyler Zink
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,754 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Tyler Zink71c6,318$4,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.5411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Tyler Zink80c4,866$3,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.621,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Tyler Zink63c4,400$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.564254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blake Ellis45c3,381$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.067,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Blake Ellis37c2,514$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.883,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba55…41f1backed Blake Ellis37c2,277$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.45743.9%25 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blake Ellis38c1,780$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.136,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Blake Ellis18c1,622$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.698,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Blake Ellis35c1,510$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.153,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Blake Ellis37c1,250$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.57139.4%28 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Blake Ellis41c1,161$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9128562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Blake Ellis22c1,134$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4316552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Tyler Zink63c1,030$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.145756.1%32 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Blake Ellis40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Tyler Zink60c917.07$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.081,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Blake Ellis26c909.63$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.478840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Blake Ellis40c839$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.152,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Tyler Zink59c728$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.4836757.8%212 W · 155 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Tyler Zink62c643.52$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.5227739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Tyler Zink61c627.7$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.151,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Tyler Zink62c599.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22843042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Blake Ellis19c537.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8485624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Tyler Zink64c502.66$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.966046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Blake Ellis28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4824…0be2backed Blake Ellis12c468.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.853315.2%5 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-56.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Tyler Zink65c459.28$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2816055%88 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Tyler Zink70c425.17$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.441,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…5715backed Tyler Zink62c421$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9810234.3%35 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Blake Ellis43c406.78$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Blake Ellis17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6867838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Blake Ellis32c378.64$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0858539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tyler Zink75c337.59$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.078,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Blake Ellis15c331.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505516.4%9 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick21cpaid+16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Blake Ellis35c314.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Blake Ellis38c303$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.148248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Blake Ellis36c300.04$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0136244.8%162 W · 200 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Blake Ellis17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5132935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Blake Ellis37c290.51$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.321,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tyler Zink66c289.23$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.454,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Blake Ellis21c285.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.41,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Blake Ellis14c271.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Blake Ellis38c259.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.741,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Blake Ellis16c256.02$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.652,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Blake Ellis9c235.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.261,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Tyler Zink72c212.13$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.856,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tyler Zink74c204.42$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.374,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Blake Ellis8c204$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3233751.9%175 W · 162 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Blake Ellis17c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.892138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Tyler Zink64c195.3$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.312,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Blake Ellis13c187.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.522,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ec…3630backed Tyler Zink66c175$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5513232.6%43 W · 89 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Blake Ellis12c171.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.634,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Blake Ellis42c171.47$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.852,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Blake Ellis40c166$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.654,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Tyler Zink64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2528541.1%117 W · 168 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Blake Ellis26c154.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.692,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Tyler Zink64c148.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.566450%32 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Blake Ellis38c130.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Blake Ellis15c123.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.533349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tyler Zink66c123$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.226,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Tyler Zink63c113.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.161,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Blake Ellis43c112.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7742350.8%215 W · 208 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed Tyler Zink62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd443…c069backed Blake Ellis37c95.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.47850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Blake Ellis36c93.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6624856.9%141 W · 107 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Blake Ellis14c93.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.632732.1%105 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Blake Ellis38c89.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Blake Ellis34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Blake Ellis38c86.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Blake Ellis37c86.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0917656.3%99 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed Blake Ellis38c80.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Tyler Zink74c79.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.671,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Blake Ellis43c78.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.452,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x175e…8e46backed Tyler Zink66c75.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9610363.1%65 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Blake Ellis36c75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Blake Ellis41c73.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9223932.6%78 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe36a…ae58backed Tyler Zink62c69.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.379863.3%62 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Blake Ellis39c64.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.277541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b35…1dcebacked Blake Ellis37c62.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310554.3%57 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe22f…49b1backed Blake Ellis37c62.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Tyler Zink60c60.34$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.141,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Blake Ellis37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.183447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Blake Ellis35c53.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5619474.7%145 W · 49 L+34.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x831d…0705backed Tyler Zink76c49.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1226563.8%169 W · 96 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Blake Ellis39c49.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.352,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4591…7d89backed Tyler Zink61c49.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.219463.8%60 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tyler Zink78c49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.736,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Tyler Zink65c48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.897852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Blake Ellis23c45.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.516560%39 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Tyler Zink70c44.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5356070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Blake Ellis34c41.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Tyler Zink62c40.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3724546.5%114 W · 131 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Blake Ellis37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Tyler Zink61c39.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Tyler Zink64c37.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.592,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Tyler Zink56c34.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.22,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Blake Ellis36c32.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Tyler Zink63c31.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.516242%68 W · 94 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Tyler Zink64c31.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3175350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Tyler Zink64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2516856%94 W · 74 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.