Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fe871accc2ed99251b8e04310f7caac174600fa3a84eae7bec85ad20eed8f8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 34c | 1,120$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.56 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 35c | 1,091$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.09 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 18c | 736.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.14 | 552 | 5.6%31 W · 521 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 25c | 615.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.97 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 68c | 425.45$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.75 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 23c | 424.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.26 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked No | 62c | 365.68$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 32c | 284.41$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.24 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 39c | 255$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.9 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 29c | 248.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.56 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…c462backed Yes | 11c | 242.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.18 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed Yes | 34c | 169.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 77c | 169.59$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 73c | 152.05$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 18c | 136.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Yes | 26c | 115.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 55c | 113.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 67c | 113.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…412bbacked No | 64c | 112.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…d361backed No | 72c | 105$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed Yes | 31c | 87.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…081bbacked Yes | 40c | 86.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 28c | 85.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 85.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 65c | 85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 73c | 65.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 50c | 62.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…d76abacked No | 65c | 62.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…b069backed Yes | 23c | 61.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5b…2979backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 56c | 57.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…d271backed No | 78c | 57.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75f…f98bbacked No | 78c | 56.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 54.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 73c | 53.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 219 | 59.8%131 W · 88 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 50.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 53c | 50.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe0…48e5backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…2df2backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…f033backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…83e5backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 42c | 43.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked No | 49c | 33.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 30c | 33.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 386 | 48.2%186 W · 200 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…3431backed Yes | 43c | 29.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 73c | 29.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748e…f4f2backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4f…72bebacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 56c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 69c | 21.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed No | 52c | 21.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5896…447cbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked No | 62c | 19.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb514…a2f1backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74c…4b75backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935c…19e7backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea5…a6e2backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.