Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc80c1c8343af1f4ebc16109e0562af65525186a9a4f76cf13519d25cd933b707
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 43c | 1,093$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.4 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 40c | 1,090$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.5 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 39c | 654.53$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.12 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 64c | 466.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 55c | 313.45$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 39c | 248.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 60c | 235$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 35c | 233.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.09 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked Yes | 46c | 222.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…d361backed Yes | 50c | 218.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked Yes | 33c | 191.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 33c | 140.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 28c | 140.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 76c | 115.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 61c | 113.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed No | 33c | 91.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 61c | 89.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 27c | 87.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 219 | 59.8%131 W · 88 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 49c | 78.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 54c | 77.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 50c | 77.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed Yes | 40c | 75.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 63c | 69.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 17c | 65.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 34c | 61.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 22c | 61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 59c | 57.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 39c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…c441backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…8a05backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 51c | 48.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 30c | 36.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 47c | 32.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 386 | 48.2%186 W · 200 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 58c | 31.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 26.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 57c | 25.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 57c | 18.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.