Cricket · resolved market
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: China vs Indonesia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd992b95f997d60ef41d3ec57b84aba277c92664523b2a44f90cc8adcf43b4156
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chinaof China, Indonesia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked China | 10c | 1,292$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.73 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed China | 9c | 1,097$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.61 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed China | 73c | 1,035$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.85 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked China | 15c | 676.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +576.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed China | 4c | 531.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…64cdbacked China | 67c | 504.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +10.4wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…2cd4backed China | 24c | 500.86$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.91 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed China | 16c | 304.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.36 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed China | 46c | 180$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked China | 17c | 141.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…46c6backed Indonesia | 20c | 125.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…486ebacked Indonesia | 80c | 112.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked China | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked China | 28c | 86.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Indonesia | 36c | 86.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed China | 37c | 64.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed Indonesia | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…83f3backed China | 16c | 62.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…bec3backed China | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked China | 26c | 58.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Indonesia | 72c | 51.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Indonesia | 60c | 50.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d9…b6eebacked China | 31c | 33.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Indonesia | 68c | 27.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Indonesia | 76c | 26.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…898dbacked Indonesia | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Indonesia | 74c | 18.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.