TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mary Stoianaof Kayla Day, Mary Stoiana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,224 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Kayla Day50c18,894$9,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,526.298,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfac7…78ebbacked Mary Stoiana48c17,292$8,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,991.698153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kayla Day37c6,683$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.1111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Kayla Day67c6,408$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,264.8665952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Mary Stoiana46c4,469$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.9885348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kayla Day52c3,744$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.5893740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Kayla Day59c2,939$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.714,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Kayla Day52c2,474$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.2550458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Kayla Day57c1,157$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.771,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Kayla Day67c951.82$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.335,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Kayla Day51c951$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.54,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec6…50cdbacked Kayla Day47c850$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.57047.1%33 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Kayla Day73c792$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.162,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Kayla Day17c700$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11922152%115 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kayla Day47c697.33$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.178,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Mary Stoiana34c527.89$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3483,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Mary Stoiana46c499.95$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9785634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Mary Stoiana46c418.36$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.582,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6cf0…4972backed Mary Stoiana49c400.2$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.15048%24 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Kayla Day51c392.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.41,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Kayla Day17c374.62$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0838422.4%86 W · 298 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Kayla Day51c349$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.497,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Kayla Day63c312$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5622667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Kayla Day52c240$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.847854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Mary Stoiana50c231$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.51,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Kayla Day55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.111,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Kayla Day22c210$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.665346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Mary Stoiana78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4430844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab80…ba7ebacked Kayla Day52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Kayla Day47c191.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5985742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Kayla Day22c182.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.179150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Mary Stoiana47c180.85$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.851,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Mary Stoiana80c142$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.424740.1%99 W · 148 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Kayla Day72c137.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a6…eb84backed Kayla Day51c129.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Kayla Day54c114$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5696844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Kayla Day44c113.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.566,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3067…a44cbacked Kayla Day53c110.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.64650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Kayla Day69c104.12$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.841,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Kayla Day61c103.25$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9150958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Kayla Day51c102.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.041,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a74…ae2bbacked Mary Stoiana49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Kayla Day53c101.78$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9429952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Kayla Day33c100.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.958539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc960…1c19backed Kayla Day25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Kayla Day47c99.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.832,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mary Stoiana53c97.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.418,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Kayla Day53c93.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4915854.4%86 W · 72 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12e6…2554backed Kayla Day64c92.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a2…ca26backed Mary Stoiana78c87.18$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.183100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Kayla Day54c76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0439443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa276…dcfabacked Kayla Day54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404652.2%24 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Mary Stoiana79c68.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2247274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3e…5ffabacked Kayla Day75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6bb…a47fbacked Mary Stoiana80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56767.2%45 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Kayla Day53c61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.431,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Kayla Day67c60.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2176853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Kayla Day52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3067852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Kayla Day70c57.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.211,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Kayla Day74c57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1892674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Kayla Day65c56.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9478847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Kayla Day51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Mary Stoiana42c47.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.563,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Kayla Day41c46.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.986,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Mary Stoiana45c45.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8285637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0476…50b3backed Kayla Day68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303571.4%25 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kayla Day35c41.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.842,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067a…3821backed Mary Stoiana46c41.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Kayla Day62c40.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3614349%70 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Mary Stoiana37c40.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.453,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Mary Stoiana74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.422230.6%68 W · 154 L-25.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7de8…10ffbacked Kayla Day53c37.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206747.8%32 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Kayla Day60c36.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.123,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Kayla Day52c36.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1949749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Mary Stoiana43c34.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.322,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e2…2964backed Mary Stoiana80c33.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick72cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Kayla Day37c33.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4916654.8%91 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc07…5ccabacked Kayla Day54c32.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.558242.7%35 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5820…b6f6backed Kayla Day52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158959.6%53 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Kayla Day47c27.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Kayla Day72c25.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.531,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Mary Stoiana76c25.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0838074.5%283 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Kayla Day54c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4279951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Kayla Day51c20.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.326,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe3…6580backed Kayla Day70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141070%7 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick74cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x230f…9ff4backed Kayla Day70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144544.4%20 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Mary Stoiana78c18.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.042,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kayla Day69c16.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.741,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Kayla Day66c16.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8835649.4%176 W · 180 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c98…5fb5backed Kayla Day73c15.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1fe…d91cbacked Mary Stoiana80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Mary Stoiana71c14.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1938860.6%235 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.