Tennis · resolved market
Little Rock: Erik Arutiunian vs Justin Boulais
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x519069582741d07b5757de6345c95f571a77982510112202ae47bc85eb8580ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Justin Boulaisof Erik Arutiunian, Justin Boulais
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Erik Arutiunian | 10c | 6,160$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.6 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Justin Boulais | 61c | 4,402$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.23 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Justin Boulais | 76c | 4,109$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.08 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Erik Arutiunian | 16c | 3,299$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.74 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Justin Boulais | 77c | 1,598$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.34 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Erik Arutiunian | 39c | 1,410$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Justin Boulais | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.26 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Erik Arutiunian | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Erik Arutiunian | 15c | 977.4$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Erik Arutiunian | 40c | 878.52$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.41 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Erik Arutiunian | 26c | 825.04$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Erik Arutiunian | 10c | 787.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Justin Boulais | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Erik Arutiunian | 36c | 518.49$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.02 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Erik Arutiunian | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Justin Boulais | 79c | 363.55$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Erik Arutiunian | 23c | 353.68$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Justin Boulais | 67c | 352$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Justin Boulais | 79c | 351.34$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Justin Boulais | 60c | 333.34$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Erik Arutiunian | 18c | 330.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Erik Arutiunian | 40c | 330$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Erik Arutiunian | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4824…0be2backed Erik Arutiunian | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Erik Arutiunian | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Erik Arutiunian | 41c | 193.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Justin Boulais | 63c | 181.54$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Erik Arutiunian | 39c | 181$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Justin Boulais | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Erik Arutiunian | 9c | 142.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Erik Arutiunian | 39c | 141.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Justin Boulais | 57c | 126.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Erik Arutiunian | 13c | 117.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Erik Arutiunian | 15c | 111.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Justin Boulais | 75c | 102.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Erik Arutiunian | 44c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Erik Arutiunian | 51c | 97.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Erik Arutiunian | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…ee84backed Justin Boulais | 67c | 97.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Justin Boulais | 66c | 92.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Erik Arutiunian | 38c | 90.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Justin Boulais | 60c | 85.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Justin Boulais | 45c | 84.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Erik Arutiunian | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Justin Boulais | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…f798backed Erik Arutiunian | 24c | 62.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Erik Arutiunian | 22c | 60.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Erik Arutiunian | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 318 | 41.8%133 W · 185 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Erik Arutiunian | 28c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…cee0backed Erik Arutiunian | 19c | 52.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Erik Arutiunian | 57c | 50.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 245 | 46.5%114 W · 131 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Erik Arutiunian | 40c | 49.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Justin Boulais | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Erik Arutiunian | 34c | 46.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Justin Boulais | 69c | 45.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 194 | 74.7%145 W · 49 L | +34.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Justin Boulais | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Justin Boulais | 80c | 37.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Erik Arutiunian | 39c | 33.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Erik Arutiunian | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed Justin Boulais | 67c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Erik Arutiunian | 39c | 29.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Erik Arutiunian | 42c | 28.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Justin Boulais | 80c | 27.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Erik Arutiunian | 43c | 25.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Erik Arutiunian | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Justin Boulais | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa687…e0e2backed Justin Boulais | 71c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.