Token Launches · resolved market
Laso Finance FDV above $5M one day after launch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbafb2011e78cdd4520bd54ccc7f2411fc6b5af3dce6f0b46b86a9df1cfb794e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed No | 39c | 6,405$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.9 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…9b5fbacked Yes | 73c | 5,341$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…cc0bbacked No | 4c | 3,750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 35c | 3,020$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…0d2ebacked No | 23c | 2,404$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.73 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 2c | 2,150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 74c | 1,745$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.65 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 31c | 1,604$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…5624backed No | 70c | 1,307$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.74 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 2c | 1,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 1,200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…0906backed Yes | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 40c | 996.47$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.15 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 865.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 60c | 719.45$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…4a08backed No | 64c | 713.77$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.37 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…c464backed No | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…0f83backed No | 54c | 573.69$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 528.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed No | 2c | 511.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…116ebacked Yes | 27c | 350$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 32c | 314.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed No | 29c | 293.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 42c | 288$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 47c | 281$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 46c | 274.27$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.7 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked No | 28c | 223.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +10.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…49aabacked No | 11c | 189.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 26c | 184.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…f2f0backed No | 39c | 127.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f0…d66cbacked Yes | 76c | 117.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Yes | 68c | 96.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 18c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 67c | 70.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked No | 25c | 64.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…4c0bbacked Yes | 26c | 58.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…dd8abacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 59c | 49.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 33c | 46.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked No | 32c | 44.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 42c | 42.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked No | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…a0abbacked No | 32c | 34.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 52c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 74c | 21.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 48 | 91.7%44 W · 4 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Laso Finance FDV above $5M one day after launchthis page
- Laso Finance FDV above $10M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $15M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $1M one day after launchYes won
- Laso Finance FDV above $20M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $30M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $3M one day after launchYes won
- Laso Finance FDV above $50M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $8M one day after launchNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.