Token Launches · resolved market
Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b8d43c4e65293bd25f771a3f4495b86219643f9bcacc3afa7d1289a81a63af5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa27…9b5fbacked Yes | 24c | 3,772$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…0d2ebacked No | 74c | 2,818$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,381$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…862bbacked No | 77c | 1,300$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044c…f8c1backed Yes | 15c | 1,279$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,203$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 80c | 1,002$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.9 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Yes | 2c | 943.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 73c | 602.74$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.74 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…4a08backed Yes | 18c | 425$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes | 12c | 325.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Yes | 14c | 287.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 196$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 74c | 148.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 20c | 137.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Yes | 19c | 135$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 125$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 18c | 59.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 48 | 91.7%44 W · 4 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 70c | 17.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launchthis page
- Laso Finance FDV above $10M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $15M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $1M one day after launchYes won
- Laso Finance FDV above $20M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $30M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $3M one day after launchYes won
- Laso Finance FDV above $50M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $5M one day after launchYes won
- Laso Finance FDV above $8M one day after launchNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.