Token Launches · resolved market
Laso Finance FDV above $10M one day after launch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73d1c92f7b08ed44eda8fd55cca936bcc5610bc75e03f9658f651986a97c1b4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 77c | 3,725$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.05 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044c…f8c1backed Yes | 24c | 1,083$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 75c | 930.08$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.08 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…862bbacked No | 65c | 806$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes | 15c | 699.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…9b5fbacked Yes | 31c | 638.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed No | 64c | 463.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.37 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes | 19c | 449.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 66c | 301.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…0d2ebacked No | 63c | 291.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…4a08backed Yes | 34c | 219.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…5624backed No | 79c | 219.12$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed No | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…086cbacked No | 72c | 208.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 78c | 205.24$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…116ebacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 24c | 190$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 28c | 180.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed No | 78c | 176.91$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed No | 57c | 155$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 69c | 134.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…4c0bbacked Yes | 22c | 112.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 80c | 55.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked No | 77c | 26.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 66c | 20.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…a0abbacked No | 77c | 19.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Laso Finance FDV above $10M one day after launchthis page
- Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $15M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $1M one day after launchYes won
- Laso Finance FDV above $20M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $30M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $3M one day after launchYes won
- Laso Finance FDV above $50M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $5M one day after launchYes won
- Laso Finance FDV above $8M one day after launchNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.