Token Launches · resolved market
Laso Finance FDV above $3M one day after launch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53a26710e3dfeb042c2e63df15009fc9846e13b960357aa96514e0c73acc1b60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 7c | 10,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…f2f0backed No | 10c | 1,456$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 1,200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…5624backed No | 12c | 1,015$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.09 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 7c | 615$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked Yes | 59c | 312$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.66 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 12c | 206$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 10c | 206$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…ed56backed No | 11c | 186.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8dfcbacked No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 11c | 140$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 131$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 10c | 104.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…a390backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e16…5026backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 27c | 84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 18c | 65.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…6099backed No | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Laso Finance FDV above $3M one day after launchthis page
- Laso Finance FDV above $10M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $15M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $1M one day after launchYes won
- Laso Finance FDV above $20M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $30M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $50M one day after launchNo won
- Laso Finance FDV above $5M one day after launchYes won
- Laso Finance FDV above $8M one day after launchNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.