Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02a1541f48f2c8a1fa112a071f9a66ad11b54a892378d2145adbc69c8ee44308
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Zverevof Valentin Royer, Alexander Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valentin Royer | 1c | 51,241$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.35 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Valentin Royer | 4c | 13,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Valentin Royer | 4c | 12,556$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.38 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Valentin Royer | 5c | 12,433$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.65 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Valentin Royer | 0c | 10,987$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valentin Royer | 1c | 10,645$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Valentin Royer | 3c | 6,700$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.93 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Valentin Royer | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Valentin Royer | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Valentin Royer | 1c | 4,148$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Valentin Royer | 4c | 3,583$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…8f3bbacked Valentin Royer | 1c | 3,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Valentin Royer | 5c | 1,832$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Valentin Royer | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 38%131 W · 214 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…910dbacked Valentin Royer | 1c | 1,457$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Valentin Royer | 3c | 1,297$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 482 | 31.1%150 W · 332 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Valentin Royer | 4c | 1,226$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…701dbacked Valentin Royer | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe773…e1b0backed Valentin Royer | 5c | 999.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Valentin Royer | 5c | 963$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…b6c3backed Valentin Royer | 5c | 880$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Valentin Royer | 7c | 726.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Valentin Royer | 5c | 713$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Valentin Royer | 4c | 700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Valentin Royer | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Valentin Royer | 4c | 671.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Valentin Royer | 5c | 660$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 642 | 40.2%258 W · 384 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Valentin Royer | 4c | 644.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 783 | 36%282 W · 501 L | +36.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Valentin Royer | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Valentin Royer | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Valentin Royer | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Valentin Royer | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 19.9%42 W · 169 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Valentin Royer | 3c | 394.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…0e1abacked Valentin Royer | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Valentin Royer | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Valentin Royer | 5c | 262.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 587 | 57.8%339 W · 248 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Valentin Royer | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…c501backed Valentin Royer | 8c | 207.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverevthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Royer vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Royer vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Royer (+2.5)Zverev won
- Valentin Royer vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.