Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Royer (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63f6f3ad14646700e77679426cfcff063f210a36cacf547f21d2f5570b8ada22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Royer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7942…b60bbacked Royer | 39c | 1,271$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Zverev | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Royer | 19c | 930.67$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.83 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Royer | 37c | 768.65$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.4 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Zverev | 63c | 446.44$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Royer | 33c | 352.72$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…b252backed Zverev | 67c | 352.72$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Zverev | 63c | 315.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Zverev | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Zverev | 59c | 283.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.12 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Royer | 35c | 210.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Royer | 36c | 188.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Royer | 38c | 159.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Zverev | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Zverev | 64c | 148.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Royer | 36c | 131.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…061abacked Zverev | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Royer | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Zverev | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 95 | 69.5%66 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Royer | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Zverev | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Zverev | 62c | 72.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Royer | 38c | 63.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zverev | 58c | 59.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Royer | 37c | 44.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Royer | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…1f9abacked Zverev | 63c | 40.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Zverev | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Royer | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Zverev | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Royer (+2.5)this page
- Set 1 Winner: Royer vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Royer vs ZverevZverev won
- Valentin Royer vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.