TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x375a…8f3b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burelbacked Clara Burel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.2
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$746.64
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$212.48
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverevbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.71
Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)backed Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuelbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+34%+$378.66
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+281.4%+$112.57
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$173.27
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Harriet Dartbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$290.78
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$127.65
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.33
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+199.7%+$129.82
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+66.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$503
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+629.9%+$125.99
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$413
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090.44
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,052.32
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,847Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$622.72
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.