TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Moez Echargui

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Moez Echarguiof Keegan Smith, Moez Echargui
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,102 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08a3…8666backed Keegan Smith66c57,573$38,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,254.292965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Moez Echargui35c17,691$6,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,463.98,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Moez Echargui29c11,916$3,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,467.074,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4761…88c6backed Keegan Smith0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Moez Echargui42c9,429$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,468.5771729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Moez Echargui34c8,013$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,296.693,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Keegan Smith57c7,711$4,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,367.8211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Keegan Smith72c6,126$4,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,393.94,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c0…ecf1backed Moez Echargui34c6,000$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,978.317625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Moez Echargui52c5,988$3,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856.544,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Moez Echargui37c5,417$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,416.8318237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d56…2cc5backed Moez Echargui39c4,906$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.741338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Keegan Smith67c3,301$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.674,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Moez Echargui28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16068935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Moez Echargui42c2,253$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.8633037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Keegan Smith58c2,213$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.183,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Moez Echargui41c2,029$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.0846453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Moez Echargui33c1,967$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.7544758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f98backed Moez Echargui35c1,714$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.2913048.5%63 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Keegan Smith61c1,627$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.3919052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x097c…5cdebacked Keegan Smith64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008447.6%40 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Moez Echargui27c1,550$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.681,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Keegan Smith66c1,494$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.724,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Keegan Smith71c1,359$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.583,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Moez Echargui32c1,338$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.574,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Moez Echargui28c1,066$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.761,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Moez Echargui33c1,058$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.642,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Keegan Smith72c1,035$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.231,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Keegan Smith73c1,022$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.576,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Moez Echargui32c1,002$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.634,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Moez Echargui48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.449,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Moez Echargui36c977$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.5218741.2%77 W · 110 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Keegan Smith69c971.6$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6681,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Moez Echargui17c969$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.41,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Keegan Smith7c926.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8649658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Moez Echargui34c916.42$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.9814246.5%66 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Keegan Smith62c903.82$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.385,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Keegan Smith78c873.08$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68125854.3%140 W · 118 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Keegan Smith18c783.2$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4785348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1c…8401backed Moez Echargui40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Moez Echargui28c671.45$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.142,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Keegan Smith11c612.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6544552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Moez Echargui49c612.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.3733540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Moez Echargui30c599.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.127,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Moez Echargui67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0127732.5%90 W · 187 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked Keegan Smith5c583.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307017.1%12 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-48.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Keegan Smith63c549.69$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.5663144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Keegan Smith44c540.98$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.813237.9%50 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Moez Echargui29c493.53$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.413,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Keegan Smith75c476.63$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1947857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc110…9a30backed Moez Echargui46c451.57$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9112846.1%59 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Moez Echargui39c450$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.518445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Keegan Smith67c445$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.931,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498f…daaabacked Moez Echargui32c443.75$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Keegan Smith63c440.19$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.458,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4bc…b19dbacked Keegan Smith64c432.2$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.618543.5%37 W · 48 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd849…93c5backed Keegan Smith65c430.86$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Moez Echargui29c415.94$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.046,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Moez Echargui42c392.76$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.824245%109 W · 133 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Keegan Smith60c380.3$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.1843950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Moez Echargui36c361.84$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9617646%81 W · 95 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Moez Echargui37c350$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.171,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Moez Echargui30c328.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9913029.2%38 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Keegan Smith65c313.44$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.524,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Keegan Smith37c302.59$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1836557.3%209 W · 156 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Keegan Smith45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.151,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Moez Echargui32c299.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.381,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Moez Echargui50c287.25$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9744448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Moez Echargui41c285.09$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.668,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Keegan Smith72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20059165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Moez Echargui34c277$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.346155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Keegan Smith67c272.9$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.847057.1%40 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Moez Echargui29c262.41$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.091,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Keegan Smith30c258.18$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.872,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Moez Echargui42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1452,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a17…5f06backed Keegan Smith58c249.77$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8713137.4%49 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Moez Echargui28c240$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.81,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Moez Echargui34c239.47$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.051,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Keegan Smith73c225$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2589850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc927…a3c2backed Moez Echargui23c220.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.34617.4%8 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe75…74c8backed Keegan Smith66c210.61$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Moez Echargui44c200.26$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.79824.5%24 W · 74 L-16.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Moez Echargui46c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.194,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6334…6fa3backed Moez Echargui50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked Moez Echargui51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0821842.2%92 W · 126 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Moez Echargui33c179.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.231,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Keegan Smith8c177.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.212,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Keegan Smith19c174.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.246645.5%30 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Moez Echargui33c173.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.721,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Keegan Smith66c173.05$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.725,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Moez Echargui29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4131039.4%122 W · 188 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Keegan Smith56c171.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9437460.4%226 W · 148 L+29.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Moez Echargui43c161.8$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7892145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Moez Echargui49c160.6$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.442,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Keegan Smith65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x375a…8f3bbacked Moez Echargui26c152.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.572245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Moez Echargui28c150$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.61,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…c268backed Moez Echargui36c149.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.22214.8%1 W · 20 L-6.5wins-0.31per pick36cpaid-86.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Moez Echargui27c146.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.145,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Moez Echargui36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8913041.5%54 W · 76 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.