Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4aa4ec2713584c840900ae00da74c6cffb9a0c87f4068259d2d362b733743a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fokinaof Fokina, Quinn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Quinn | 65c | 937.62$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Fokina | 41c | 815.91$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.84 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Fokina | 35c | 692.31$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Quinn | 61c | 458.66$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fokina | 36c | 275.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.38 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Fokina | 37c | 236.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Quinn | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Quinn | 35c | 195.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Quinn | 63c | 157.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Fokina | 41c | 128.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Fokina | 40c | 118.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Fokina | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Quinn | 61c | 95.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Quinn | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Fokina | 72c | 69.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Quinn | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Quinn | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Quinn | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fokina | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…8f3bbacked Fokina | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…1f9abacked Quinn | 64c | 30.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Quinn | 58c | 24.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)this page
- Ethan Quinn vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAlejandro Davidovich Fokina won
- Quinn vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Quinn vs. Fokina: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Quinn vs FokinaFokina won
- Set 2 Winner: Quinn vs FokinaFokina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.