Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Quinn vs Fokina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66adf8b19e1625bdf25b1f35c46fa8f28fbf8d9293de2892c0b3c71a99bf317b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fokinaof Quinn, Fokina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Quinn | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…4007backed Fokina | 48c | 821.77$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.44 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Quinn | 61c | 809.78$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Quinn | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fokina | 53c | 381.28$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fokina | 59c | 344.56$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Quinn | 41c | 317$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fokina | 46c | 316.85$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.42 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Fokina | 48c | 244.54$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Fokina | 54c | 227.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fokina | 38c | 218.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.48 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Quinn | 51c | 208.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fokina | 52c | 157.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Quinn | 38c | 131.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fokina | 38c | 98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Quinn | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Quinn | 37c | 85.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fokina | 56c | 73.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Quinn | 47c | 69.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…d4bfbacked Fokina | 44c | 67.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Fokina | 70c | 46.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Quinn | 45c | 44.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Quinn | 46c | 43.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Quinn | 39c | 43.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Quinn | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 162 | 57.4%93 W · 69 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fokina | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…9bdcbacked Quinn | 36c | 37.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Fokina | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…e6fcbacked Fokina | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Quinn vs Fokinathis page
- Ethan Quinn vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAlejandro Davidovich Fokina won
- Quinn vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Quinn vs. Fokina: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 2 Winner: Quinn vs FokinaFokina won
- Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)Fokina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.