Tennis · resolved market
Quinn vs. Fokina: Match O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa93782a98c2e275229ecea0405fae8bfd7ad0c8ebe0376aec62369fb3983304
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 50c | 660.1$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 50c | 350.85$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.03 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Over | 46c | 222.22$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 221.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Over | 60c | 154.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 48c | 145.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 66c | 135.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 51c | 131.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 49c | 95.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Under | 39c | 87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 54c | 86.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 38c | 86.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Under | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 42c | 46.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 53c | 44.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 44.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Over | 67c | 43.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 48c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Under | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Under | 41c | 27.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 59c | 19.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…2eedbacked Over | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Quinn vs. Fokina: Match O/U 23.5this page
- Ethan Quinn vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAlejandro Davidovich Fokina won
- Quinn vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Quinn vs FokinaFokina won
- Set 2 Winner: Quinn vs FokinaFokina won
- Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)Fokina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.