TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,786 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No58c12,102$7,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,076.975,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes49c12,050$5,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,905.333644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75012545.6%57 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5c…00f7backed Yes43c6,000$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.4740%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c5,875$3,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.392,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes49c3,961$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.091844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes12c2,346$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.493129%9 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes40c2,234$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c2,002$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.981,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No54c1,581$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.3210158.4%59 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes46c1,522$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No60c1,488$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.8210837%40 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No60c1,205$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.452,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6319…d371backed Yes44c1,140$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No51c1,075$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.6712542.4%53 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508132.1%26 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed No53c948.53$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.818854.5%48 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c835.28$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8596846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No51c828.52$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.981,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No52c755.68$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.1514948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38ad…6690backed Yes31c602.86$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed Yes43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Yes9c560.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504429.5%13 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No51c489.35$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.61,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes20c489.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No51c429.85$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.788859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No51c396.03$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.056358.7%37 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes49c386$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.143240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No53c360$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.414752.4%77 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No52c356.38$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.931,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c345.92$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.031,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No51c326.58$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0222949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x580b…9535backed Yes39c295.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-74.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No51c241$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.094443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No51c219.61$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.611650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No56c213$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5719354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe6…39e7backed Yes36c210$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No63c205$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.421574.4%160 W · 55 L+45.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed No55c204.6$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.073036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No52c198.51$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2834847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No53c194.93$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.423859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No51c193.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.756349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed No58c179.73$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.943268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes11c165.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.796841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No80c150.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.441560%9 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6eb…8ecabacked Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No56c146.31$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.384136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed No59c139.81$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.193876.3%29 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No70c138.12$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0919261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed No54c124.2$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.711973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No55c121.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3931960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes46c113.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.173641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes14c110.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8914440.3%58 W · 86 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No51c107$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4330049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505939%23 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No52c101.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8211145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403030%9 W · 21 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-53.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed No54c99.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked No51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes48c95.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.821,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No51c92.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.866547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed No58c86.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.613873.7%28 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked No58c86.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.613677.8%28 W · 8 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf9d1…73edbacked No59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed No60c83.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9311839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.63461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No52c74.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.776051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes47c69.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7753946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes47c69.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2523347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef1…e893backed No51c68.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.15580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick36cpaid+171.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafe1…d1c2backed No52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.311172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes48c64.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.211752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198b…be1cbacked Yes46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No50c54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2716856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes48c52.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.051,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes49c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.494946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes25c48.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123040%12 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc32b…b6bbbacked Yes50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No53c46.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.039851%50 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes44c43.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed No52c40.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.725060%30 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2217630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes46c37.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4632654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe44…1ad3backed Yes48c37.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec4…9196backed No54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No79c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.723551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e62…fd00backed Yes29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105040%20 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No60c34.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.737153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed No59c33.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.693070%21 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked No59c33.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.694376.7%33 W · 10 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+28.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed No51c32.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.792661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.