Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd0dd2b2f9a4c0921aa46512270ea4c4bad64269f4aedd876317c9962a2e8562
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 52c | 4,315$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.68 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2a…7e54backed Yes | 44c | 2,442$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 1,806$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.77 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 1,374$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.74 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 46c | 800$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 775.75$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.33 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 690.26$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.81 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 54c | 529.09$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.38 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 36c | 462.59$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.07 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 419$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.51 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 47c | 158.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 32c | 141.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 38c | 134.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 46c | 113.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 112.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 47c | 108.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 46c | 107.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…c51fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 94.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 55c | 92.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 89.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 44c | 81.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…6961backed Yes | 19c | 70.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 75c | 69.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 57c | 68.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57b…399abacked Yes | 47c | 61.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 47c | 39.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 56c | 17.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.