TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,756 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No0c19,482$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.483818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+106%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No9c7,473$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.272,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No12c6,685$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8105,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ad…9b6abacked No9c6,129$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.74520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-71.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes69c5,861$4,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.43240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No6c3,887$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.432,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No13c3,506$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.6819340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No28c2,366$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.631,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No31c2,166$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.6839649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8513…7d41backed Yes77c1,993$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No8c1,962$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.441216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-65.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No23c1,864$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.721,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No8c1,622$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.421,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No31c1,570$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.1838849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No11c1,387$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.324143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No31c1,272$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.641,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed No2c1,170$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.461643.8%7 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+153.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No26c999.89$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.971241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No24c885.26$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5370842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed No23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No9c775.8$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.232330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x622c…4309backed Yes71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No15c691.21$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6889245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes71c680$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.144257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Yes80c666.23$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.342040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes78c635$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.73161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes74c554.69$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3574739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1e…64a2backed Yes74c472.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes71c421.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3824654.1%133 W · 113 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No31c349.53$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2513644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed No15c329.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.37812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-81.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cbf…4e4ebacked Yes74c298.44$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed No24c291.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-62.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1030…88ecbacked Yes73c274.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.28366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No14c232.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9630548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes64c226.56$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.564242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes78c224.35$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.11764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes74c222$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.725832.8%19 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No33c218$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8493446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178928.1%25 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No27c199.96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4953946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No24c183.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.169747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No30c172.86$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.861,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No29c169.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6835751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No25c162.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.81,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x550e…b4e7backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No25c127.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3217630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No13c125.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0413654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No31c115.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-80.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No31c115$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6510522.9%24 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed No26c110.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.423237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked No12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes71c97.47$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.968243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed No22c97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.575337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes78c96.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.152979.3%23 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x038c…36cfbacked Yes64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b10…2920backed Yes71c77.65$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes75c76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1911141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…22ebbacked Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x712f…5ffebacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed No30c69.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes71c65.93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.121752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x294f…eeabbacked Yes78c65.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68cb…6872backed Yes77c64.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes65c60.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.239944.4%44 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No28c59.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes80c54.81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9610156.4%57 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No25c54.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.671,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ab…c26cbacked Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No29c48.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1732654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed No25c45.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.431752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No29c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.059851%50 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1790…30f7backed No34c43.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked No30c43.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.023948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x863a…cc31backed Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No31c41.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6412956.6%73 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes74c38.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.031,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ae…cb82backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b43…b25bbacked Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…bffbbacked Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292b…e9b2backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacfe…b4c1backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7340…f73fbacked Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd956…5ae4backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9114…1e24backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…271cbacked Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…5423backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…e23dbacked Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x027d…091abacked Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa154…0d22backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca5…e2bcbacked Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc165…a299backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd78…9366backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba4…45cebacked Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14d6…0971backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd6…bf78backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x684d…8bbabacked Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d89…a792backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x409e…6352backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ff…66d0backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.