TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No1c40,159$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.631,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No2c15,336$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.52,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No12c13,668$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.274040%16 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No11c12,780$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.735,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No10c4,327$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.557037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No23c2,543$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.9719340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes39c2,261$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.781,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No60c2,236$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.3339649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Yes40c2,125$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2752951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6319…d371backed No42c2,089$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.995621.4%12 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-38.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No42c1,582$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.1622949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes78c1,450$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.8193535.2%329 W · 606 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No61c1,387$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.2938849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked No4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes71c1,085$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.5511762.4%73 W · 44 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes71c1,018$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.681,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes43c965$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.293644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes70c859$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.721953.9%118 W · 101 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd19…3f54backed Yes40c749.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.97837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes58c713.75$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.7884342.2%356 W · 487 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No5c601$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.094847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x834d…0c31backed No22c582.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.261323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes78c513.99$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.381,31956.7%748 W · 571 L+64.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf851…ef53backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes63c484.28$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1672342%304 W · 419 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes40c464.38$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.841,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No4c450$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No56c367.85$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2061,11649.5%552 W · 564 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes72c356.38$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4710456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024654.1%133 W · 113 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No60c336.13$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.686358.7%37 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed No55c304.47$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.463551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No12c292.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.152,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No5c278.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0237153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes75c266.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6612962%80 W · 49 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No4c259.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1225155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No43c212.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.21,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ab…eb49backed No22c201$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c196.43$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.51,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed Yes70c190$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes70c189.64$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8910654.7%58 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No60c186.67$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No59c177$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.713644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No56c175$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes70c134$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.214949%73 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No60c129.59$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7547155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes70c123.43$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0326348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No21c122.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.529252.2%48 W · 44 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes44c117.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6376239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes73c117.07$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1611861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Yes43c115$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6611839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes78c111$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0982053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes41c102.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4411141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes70c101.43$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4313349.6%66 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes80c93$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.63141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60fd…d6debacked Yes39c92.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No40c85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes79c84$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8184347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yes73c82.27$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.219146.2%42 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ba…1388backed Yes41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No57c69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.331,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9817630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…b756backed Yes74c60.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.762445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd194…c51fbacked Yes41c56.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+41.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x874e…b47abacked No56c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes76c53.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.684560%27 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes66c51.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2624448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes78c51.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0877056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes43c50.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.761752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303363.6%21 W · 12 L+7.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2933454.8%183 W · 151 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes73c49.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.399653.1%51 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes44c43.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6417151.5%88 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91b…eb19backed No62c43.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8407…c4b9backed Yes60c42.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.06966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+53.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No26c41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5518261.5%112 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.620838.9%81 W · 127 L-14.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xade5…56b1backed No60c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f57…f8c5backed No60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No61c27.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.977957%45 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d4…9ff8backed No57c26.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked No60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd682…2c16backed Yes64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.11963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Yes64c24.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.09862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Yes78c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.282744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes75c18.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6672944.2%322 W · 407 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3267…da9ebacked No60c18.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes61c17.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.810960.6%66 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No60c16.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0417058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes75c15.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9313654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe07d…4ee1backed Yes78c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.081266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.