Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1680a261ba569bb46f805b79a53f574d44beda7961c81f68138062180109e937
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 29c | 4,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.63 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Yes | 35c | 2,300$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 1,987$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.75 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 14c | 1,604$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.05 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,432$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.62 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 1,298$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.17 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 1,241$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.75 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 19c | 927.26$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.21 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 894.39$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.15 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 870.58$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.56 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 33c | 850.28$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.59 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 668$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.72 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 595.93$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.81 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 552.57$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 528.82$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.57 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 5c | 407.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 33c | 406$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 31c | 354.8$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 70c | 237.29$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…9bf1backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 69c | 193.96$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 7c | 190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 31c | 171.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 170.86$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…c60ebacked Yes | 34c | 130.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…eda5backed Yes | 30c | 109.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +410.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 17c | 98.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 66c | 89.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 66c | 87.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 34c | 82.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…4515backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…b47abacked Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 70c | 52.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d4…9ff8backed Yes | 31c | 33.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 33c | 31.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 69c | 29.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked No | 69c | 23.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 68c | 22.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 80c | 17.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 67c | 17.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 67c | 15.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.