Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Sion vs. Noah FA end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4deb8fa4d987301a216673b9cade1845046494f189ac270b2875d9b420c36545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 2,506$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.06 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed Yes | 25c | 2,035$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 1,213$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.07 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 838.44$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.68 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 790.89$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 429.38$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Yes | 33c | 303.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 268$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 76c | 261.5$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 252.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 11c | 199.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 23c | 117.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 114$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 106$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 77c | 104.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 75c | 98.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 75c | 98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 76c | 66.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 51.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 78c | 49.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 77c | 39.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 70c | 35.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…92e9backed No | 79c | 33.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Sion vs. Noah FA end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
- Will Noah FA win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.