MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3538321a5a654bd1c331955ae8f4bc9bf6c37a317a66668d7c2c1ffff6a03bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Kansas City Royals, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $528,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 64,443$25,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,127.97 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…c219backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 55,726$22,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,847.82 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c6…ba58backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 47,619$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 47,540$32,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,623.16 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 26,175$15,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,086.22 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 20,808$12,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,475.55 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 17,429$7,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,184.91 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 17,061$9,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,165.59 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 15,804$6,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,005.59 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…8c4bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 15,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 14,536$8,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,959.76 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 14,469$8,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,077.02 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 11,654$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Kansas City Royals | 9c | 11,175$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 11,133$6,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,446.77 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 10,908$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.67 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.95 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 8,910$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,938.42 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 6,516$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.88 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels | 71c | 6,231$4,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.26 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 5,555$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.1 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 5,100$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 4,949$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.06 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 4,286$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.34 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 4,042$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.71 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 3,673$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.88 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 3,090$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.9 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 2,929$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.4 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 2,537$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.29 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 2,307$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.99 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,961$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.97 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,817$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.46 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 1,738$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.48 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 198 | 54%107 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,341$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.33 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 1,324$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.64 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 1,214$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.53 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 1,210$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.53 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 1,177$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.55 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 1,087$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 1,017$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.86 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 927.98$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 909$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.78 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 750$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.59 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 746.17$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 738.46$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.69 | 581 | 60.4%351 W · 230 L | +30.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 723.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 720.29$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.32 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 696.99$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.73 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 627.27$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.27 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 613.39$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.69 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 590.21$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.89 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 557.19$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.02 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 556$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 538.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.25 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 478.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 477$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.57 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 409.96$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 405.3$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 378.19$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 375$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.27 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 363.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 362$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 592 | 43.2%256 W · 336 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 356.09$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 344.42$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 324.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 304.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 301.84$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 325 | 52.9%172 W · 153 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 289$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 287.88$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 264.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 241$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…8b66backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 234.25$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 232.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…e413backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 223.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 213.11$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 202.47$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Kansas City Royals | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 197.02$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Kansas City Royals | 8c | 196.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 195.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 194.47$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angelsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.