MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63b63a1a8ecb4fc4ed8abd8ba083903bc3e6f13132fcfe8e559e15edffe579c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Los Angeles Angels, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 6,314$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 6,018$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 2,739$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 2,348$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.51 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 1,716$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.76 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 1,337$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.78 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 72c | 952.98$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.7 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kansas City Royals | 72c | 648.44$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.53 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 532$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.76 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 13c | 288.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 275.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 241.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 235.09$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 210.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 205.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 178.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 169.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 157.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 156.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 141.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 138$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 137.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 137.51$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 137$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 132.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 78.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 77c | 67.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 65.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 55.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Los Angeles Angels | 24c | 53.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21e…044abacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 53.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 53.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 51.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 45.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 33.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 29.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 27.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 26.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 26.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 26.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 23.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 22.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 19.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 17.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.