TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over54c217,037$117,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117,189.7146949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c61,629$29,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,951.5410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under46c56,637$26,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,583.9823538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c53,261$24,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,58011,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over51c46,741$23,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,828.021,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under46c25,000$11,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,5002,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under46c21,200$9,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,44810547.6%50 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c11,624$5,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,276.963,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Under46c6,416$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,464.63154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.1721748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05011464%73 W · 41 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under46c4,775$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.51,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c4,619$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.3812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c4,591$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.31,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under46c3,862$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.2718860.1%113 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+237.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over52c3,073$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.764,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under69c1,690$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.932,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under46c1,645$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.0445252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under49c1,423$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.091,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under47c1,378$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.441,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under48c957.45$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.8787750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under48c957.45$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.8738353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under48c957.22$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.7556253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Under54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.935749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c761$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.941,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0c…7f26backed Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under47c604.36$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.3147350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under46c585$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.91,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c527.34$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.544,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under47c353.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9944245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under46c318.35$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.917248.6%35 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under46c293.17$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3130548.9%149 W · 156 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over53c258.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.271,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under46c256.07$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2847852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under46c217.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.428553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over46c198.66$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.591,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c189.01$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.652,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c185$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.98,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea53…e1ebbacked Under46c173.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.914845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under46c157.5$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0556851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Under46c149.8$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.899248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under46c147$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3848339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under46c138$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5254642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under46c131$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7452638.4%202 W · 324 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under46c114.68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5947056.6%266 W · 204 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under46c107.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7273355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ed…c06dbacked Over24c106.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c102.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.048,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5378854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5123255.2%128 W · 104 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under46c98.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.581,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8426857.1%153 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under46c91.45$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0115052.7%79 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Over53c71.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under46c67.37$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0621547%101 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under71c63.19$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1931052.6%163 W · 147 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb96…ea06backed Under46c52.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.481625%4 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under46c51.03$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.397266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6112…7a08backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under48c49.08$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5230554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under55c49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.054,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under46c46.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Under46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4873243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4813152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…eebbbacked Under46c42.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.22937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over53c41.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1134846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over53c41.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214053.6%75 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Under48c35.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.647565.3%49 W · 26 L+10.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over53c35.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.912,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b16…66d3backed Under46c29.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+57%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under48c28.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9415841.8%66 W · 92 L-12.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c28.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.146,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under46c27.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9125355.7%141 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a1…2fa0backed Under46c27.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.742965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under45c27.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.893,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over53c21.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.271,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x385e…b6c4backed Over53c18.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.