Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac020fb21ba4468df0cac9d861be899f62debd839e9f618fe66c93b7a9751d65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 61c | 11,035$6,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,281.99 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…a84bbacked No | 59c | 10,750$6,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 40c | 5,949$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.71 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 4,463$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 40c | 2,858$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.38 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 1,576$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.15 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,524$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 40c | 1,330$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.69 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 38c | 1,031$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.18 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 40c | 847.23$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.95 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 795$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.37 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 41c | 647.63$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.53 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 644.17$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.07 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Yes | 3c | 634.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 24cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 623.68$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.71 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 74c | 596.42$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 26c | 587$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 11c | 455$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 42c | 429.31$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 41c | 396.55$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.43 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 23c | 366.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 59c | 349.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 77c | 222.57$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 195.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…7f05backed Yes | 41c | 195.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Yes | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 27c | 160.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 38c | 153$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 41c | 139.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 26c | 135$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 39c | 128.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…92e9backed Yes | 26c | 123$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…0cbfbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 118.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 23c | 115$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 13c | 88.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 27c | 88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 41c | 63.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 72c | 62.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Yes | 31c | 54.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 51.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfede…983fbacked Yes | 43c | 46.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 74c | 46.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 41c | 45.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 39c | 44.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 39c | 44.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 25c | 43.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 41.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 40c | 40.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…0d87backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 35.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 27.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 70c | 26.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 53c | 22.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 59c | 21.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…bd31backed No | 71c | 20.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…c9f1backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 69c | 19.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.