Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc956829e2e973d81113a22fbc9d2835f807597e198bec36852c3502995961b07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 71c | 2,389$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.86 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 1,096$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.93 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 666.15$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.17 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Yes | 20c | 603.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 24cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 27c | 558.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 71c | 523.37$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 441.21$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 68c | 441$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.19 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 32c | 192$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 145.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 30c | 116.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 116.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…7f05backed Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 107.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 25c | 102.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 101.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 30c | 98.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 83.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 31c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 64c | 78.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 69c | 54.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Yes | 32c | 46.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 39.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 71c | 34.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 32.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…bd31backed No | 65c | 21.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 80c | 19.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 70c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 76c | 16.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.