TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes29c4,184$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.7920769.6%144 W · 63 L+31.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes44c2,889$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.9517753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes38c2,265$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.419340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Yes38c2,141$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.12642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No53c1,661$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.8592835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c1,591$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.335,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No54c1,340$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.231,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes40c1,214$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.781,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes56c1,108$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.151,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes37c1,087$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.253633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes56c814.53$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.542,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No54c752.22$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.2670842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes30c725.54$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.6674739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes51c677.99$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.174763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes56c625$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27521144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Yes57c513.4$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.232369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No41c510$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.25444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No57c469.49$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.3872144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c429.64$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.442,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes25c399.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.8812362.6%77 W · 46 L+17.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed No73c398.75$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.092065%13 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c6…92e9backed No58c398$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.851030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No54c362.92$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8458542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No37c335.2$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4822949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked No73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003030%9 W · 21 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-53.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No54c263$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3811952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No57c260$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2436142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes29c252.27$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.111,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes50c246.16$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.742352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes52c242.97$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.292462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No60c236$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1110156.4%57 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No72c224.82$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.728859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes27c221.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9289245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes42c215$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0248768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes30c190$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13314047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4117630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes51c167.13$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8815160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No54c163$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9415240.1%61 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c155.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.421,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No71c150$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7553946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes45c148.47$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.669653.1%51 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No55c145.84$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.918953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes43c142.03$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3218851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8974…fc7cbacked No71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed No71c140$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.42166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No78c140$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5227964.9%181 W · 98 L+28.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes43c135$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9510454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No68c130$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8982842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes45c128.07$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.445149%25 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No62c126.46$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3224548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No55c121.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.269350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed No61c118.53$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.82326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.9wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-58.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c115.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.041,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No70c113$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.114446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb751…8d99backed No71c110$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.11050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked No45c107$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1512535.2%44 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes28c105.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.635635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked No71c102.82$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735561.8%34 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes42c93.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0225653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes31c88.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.148243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes79c85$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8226136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Yes56c83.93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.834546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes39c76.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5877056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3f…b11cbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.319965.3%130 W · 69 L+27.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3823347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No72c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.414744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes45c68.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2527148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked No45c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes40c64.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.826460.9%39 W · 25 L+8.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+95.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes61c60.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6737153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011764.1%75 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes63c59$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9428251.4%145 W · 137 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes34c58.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2624247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No56c52.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1214646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17b6…8ef6backed No60c52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.540550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No40c47.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0844152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.882864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.931,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.657762.3%48 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed No41c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.581346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked No68c37.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.537647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yes48c37.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.469146.2%42 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Yes58c35.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.963345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Yes57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.051866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3fe…81f5backed Yes46c32.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Yes58c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.023148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb94e…f954backed Yes66c30.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.153946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No56c28.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1830548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c0…482abacked No71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29c…70b0backed No73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed No61c26.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e0…fe32backed Yes49c23.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed No51c21.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.831233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x856e…bd31backed No54c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.091369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf2…32c1backed No72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc3…c9f1backed No71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9884347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.