TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorado Rockiesof Colorado Rockies, San Francisco Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,179 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants67c40,906$27,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,449.9310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies42c13,520$5,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,813.84,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Colorado Rockies34c11,912$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,861.918446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants24c11,492$2,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,778.924,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…b478backed San Francisco Giants55c10,501$5,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,775.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Colorado Rockies32c9,750$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6307352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Colorado Rockies31c9,215$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,312.749639.6%38 W · 58 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies40c8,862$3,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,291.211,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants54c7,474$4,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,056.0395045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Colorado Rockies35c5,789$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,767.2419051.1%97 W · 93 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies55c5,783$3,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.792,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Colorado Rockies34c5,584$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,685.445853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants14c4,552$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.0579442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Colorado Rockies46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants34c3,643$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.18,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb25…62edbacked San Francisco Giants16c3,629$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5904318.6%8 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants54c2,798$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.913,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies65c2,258$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.544,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked San Francisco Giants9c2,040$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.626618.4%49 W · 217 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants54c2,003$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.66,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked San Francisco Giants9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18017417.2%30 W · 144 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Colorado Rockies42c1,968$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.2477752.1%405 W · 372 L+36.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed San Francisco Giants10c1,858$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2916814.3%24 W · 144 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants39c1,779$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.258,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked Colorado Rockies46c1,738$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.7414841.2%61 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Colorado Rockies56c1,707$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.0234650.9%176 W · 170 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82561947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants54c1,499$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.681,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8cf…1377backed Colorado Rockies37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Colorado Rockies45c1,250$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.252,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed San Francisco Giants71c955.81$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.371,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Colorado Rockies50c912$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.965536.4%20 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Colorado Rockies45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49519534.4%67 W · 128 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a6…22d2backed San Francisco Giants71c833.99$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.052661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Colorado Rockies39c830.04$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.5731957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants61c826.52$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.394,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants41c781.42$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.8792046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Colorado Rockies28c755.27$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.9452053.8%280 W · 240 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Colorado Rockies66c671.45$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7147358.4%276 W · 197 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Colorado Rockies35c652.99$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.045,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74dd…df82backed Colorado Rockies32c633$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.4412035%42 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Colorado Rockies46c618.46$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.971,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed San Francisco Giants73c579.68$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.1712759.1%75 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Colorado Rockies45c567.36$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.0517245.9%79 W · 93 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Colorado Rockies27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.5647545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Colorado Rockies61c551.78$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.0634952.7%184 W · 165 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5e…2ea3backed San Francisco Giants8c523.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9450%0 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants67c512.7$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.361,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed Colorado Rockies75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1255532.7%18 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Colorado Rockies27c499.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.9994034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebb…2b75backed San Francisco Giants54c454.53$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.458148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed San Francisco Giants35c411.69$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14537941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033c…bafebacked San Francisco Giants71c411.27$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2925457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked San Francisco Giants49c407.47$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5460348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Colorado Rockies75c397$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.251,09979.7%876 W · 223 L+33.4wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92a…80a7backed San Francisco Giants65c376.75$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.795666.1%37 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked San Francisco Giants55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Colorado Rockies36c362.41$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8134658.1%201 W · 145 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Colorado Rockies46c344.1$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8158943.1%254 W · 335 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Colorado Rockies39c330$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.44839.6%19 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked San Francisco Giants70c321.42$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22558060.5%351 W · 229 L+30.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Colorado Rockies47c310$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5394555.2%522 W · 423 L+31.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed San Francisco Giants31c294$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.716250.6%82 W · 80 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed San Francisco Giants35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Colorado Rockies72c285.1$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.541,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed San Francisco Giants59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031052.6%163 W · 147 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Colorado Rockies45c254.14$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7844451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x080e…78a5backed San Francisco Giants44c238.2$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.239129.7%27 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies45c234.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.251,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Colorado Rockies66c228.81$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.241,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Colorado Rockies47c224.12$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.991,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Francisco Giants55c223.83$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1155653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Colorado Rockies37c214.32$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2325053.2%133 W · 117 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed San Francisco Giants49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3825447.6%121 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed San Francisco Giants69c209.93$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1249762.2%309 W · 188 L+38.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed San Francisco Giants48c200.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.679036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3814…17bcbacked Colorado Rockies46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked San Francisco Giants56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11212245.9%56 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked San Francisco Giants76c196.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7235668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Colorado Rockies54c196.71$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.161,14043%490 W · 650 L-37.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Colorado Rockies45c190$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.51,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Colorado Rockies49c184.25$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6146949.9%234 W · 235 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed San Francisco Giants55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009657.3%55 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked San Francisco Giants55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9915153%80 W · 71 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Colorado Rockies45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies41c177.27$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.38,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies52c163.64$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.75,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Colorado Rockies41c162.14$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2317647.2%83 W · 93 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies29c157.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Colorado Rockies45c157$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3522352.5%117 W · 106 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Colorado Rockies31c154$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2678649.1%386 W · 400 L+3.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x003f…3805backed San Francisco Giants34c153.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.455644.6%25 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed San Francisco Giants63c151.16$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2397944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Colorado Rockies47c148.6$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7355658.1%323 W · 233 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Colorado Rockies45c144$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.295252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef8…c4a7backed Colorado Rockies35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.861338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed San Francisco Giants9c142.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.851,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked San Francisco Giants62c136.55$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2179955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Colorado Rockies37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1411150.5%56 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.