NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46e5f8d3d0e29abe66b4e01ecbf7c71c75ab332e02c0b5104f976befa83c51e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Heatof Miami Heat, Detroit Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Miami Heat | 41c | 24,400$10,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,396 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Detroit Pistons | 59c | 23,492$13,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,860.28 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Detroit Pistons | 63c | 7,509$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Miami Heat | 20c | 5,245$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,203.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +219%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Miami Heat | 32c | 4,697$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.85 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Miami Heat | 37c | 4,458$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.71 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Heat | 42c | 2,500$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.33 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Heat | 52c | 1,748$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.25 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Detroit Pistons | 41c | 1,736$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.6 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Detroit Pistons | 56c | 1,497$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Miami Heat | 42c | 1,404$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Miami Heat | 12c | 1,337$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.15 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Pistons | 59c | 1,262$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.31 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Detroit Pistons | 4c | 1,200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Miami Heat | 23c | 1,088$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.87 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Pistons | 76c | 1,001$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.25 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Heat | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Miami Heat | 35c | 895.92$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.31 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Miami Heat | 28c | 880.49$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.41 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Detroit Pistons | 77c | 870.28$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.68 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Heat | 36c | 662.52$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.01 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Miami Heat | 52c | 615.34$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.91 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Heat | 45c | 593.51$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.93 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Heat | 29c | 550.79$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.38 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Miami Heat | 40c | 505.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.67 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Miami Heat | 64c | 489.14$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Pistons | 69c | 467.98$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Heat | 38c | 454.44$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Detroit Pistons | 54c | 400.12$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.61 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Miami Heat | 8c | 375$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Pistons | 66c | 370.7$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…81b2backed Miami Heat | 31c | 362.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Miami Heat | 24c | 345.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.03 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Detroit Pistons | 53c | 332$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.96 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Miami Heat | 47c | 328.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Detroit Pistons | 54c | 312.77$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Miami Heat | 23c | 311.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Pistons | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Miami Heat | 22c | 300$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Detroit Pistons | 74c | 299.98$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…22a4backed Miami Heat | 26c | 298.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Detroit Pistons | 52c | 288.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Detroit Pistons | 69c | 230$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Miami Heat | 44c | 228.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Miami Heat | 44c | 224.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Miami Heat | 44c | 222.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Miami Heat | 44c | 213.64$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Miami Heat | 44c | 207.23$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Miami Heat | 48c | 207.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 271 | 45.4%123 W · 148 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Miami Heat | 46c | 206.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.28 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Miami Heat | 44c | 204.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Miami Heat | 44c | 201.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Miami Heat | 44c | 200.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Miami Heat | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Miami Heat | 44c | 198.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +240.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Miami Heat | 44c | 197.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Miami Heat | 44c | 192.27$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Detroit Pistons | 56c | 189.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Detroit Pistons | 63c | 159.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Miami Heat | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 162 | 30.9%50 W · 112 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Miami Heat | 27c | 136.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Miami Heat | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…159fbacked Miami Heat | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Miami Heat | 36c | 126$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Detroit Pistons | 23c | 121.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Miami Heat | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 202 | 37.1%75 W · 127 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Miami Heat | 39c | 105.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Miami Heat | 43c | 104.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Miami Heat | 44c | 100.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Miami Heat | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Miami Heat | 44c | 99.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Detroit Pistons | 67c | 85.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Detroit Pistons | 63c | 79.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Miami Heat | 39c | 77.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Miami Heat | 33c | 76.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Miami Heat | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 249 | 48.2%120 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Detroit Pistons | 59c | 68.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Detroit Pistons | 59c | 61.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Miami Heat | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Miami Heat | 38c | 55.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 59cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Detroit Pistons | 54c | 51.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Miami Heat | 50c | 50.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Detroit Pistons | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Detroit Pistons | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Miami Heat | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Miami Heat | 80c | 49.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Miami Heat | 39c | 48.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Miami Heat | 44c | 46.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Miami Heat | 40c | 46.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Detroit Pistons | 63c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…fc4bbacked Detroit Pistons | 62c | 41.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked Detroit Pistons | 60c | 41.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…f8a9backed Detroit Pistons | 70c | 39.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Detroit Pistons | 58c | 39.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Miami Heat | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Miami Heat | 34c | 33.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Miami Heat | 38c | 31.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Miami Heat | 77c | 29.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Miami Heat | 36c | 28.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 439 | 58.8%258 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Miami Heat | 47c | 25.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.