Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Claire Liu vs Heather Watson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06991e3ecab4b85ac9573fedf0a8f1307c2b2b56e21e83feb8e75af3c7f11d93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heather Watsonof Claire Liu, Heather Watson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Heather Watson | 48c | 9,605$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,998.71 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Heather Watson | 73c | 7,000$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Claire Liu | 58c | 3,984$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.03 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Claire Liu | 30c | 2,553$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Claire Liu | 16c | 2,336$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.3 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Claire Liu | 43c | 2,083$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Claire Liu | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Claire Liu | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Claire Liu | 38c | 1,886$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.94 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Heather Watson | 53c | 1,788$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.19 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Heather Watson | 41c | 1,596$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.85 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Heather Watson | 42c | 1,526$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.87 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Heather Watson | 59c | 1,457$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.75 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heather Watson | 61c | 1,412$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Heather Watson | 20c | 1,331$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.57 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Heather Watson | 40c | 1,135$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.7 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Claire Liu | 38c | 1,075$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.68 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Heather Watson | 37c | 1,068$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.68 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Claire Liu | 15c | 1,015$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.85 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Heather Watson | 52c | 939$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.72 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Claire Liu | 62c | 820.49$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.08 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Claire Liu | 25c | 756.38$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Claire Liu | 30c | 749.66$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.9 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Heather Watson | 33c | 605.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.76 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Heather Watson | 26c | 580$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.2 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Heather Watson | 47c | 563.57$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.23 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Heather Watson | 65c | 560.12$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.71 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Heather Watson | 57c | 545$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Claire Liu | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 59.4%145 W · 99 L | +21.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Heather Watson | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Claire Liu | 35c | 492.83$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.19 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Claire Liu | 40c | 489.86$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.09 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Heather Watson | 15c | 472.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.86 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Heather Watson | 76c | 454.18$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Claire Liu | 57c | 450$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Claire Liu | 57c | 441.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…c4eebacked Claire Liu | 63c | 381.3$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Heather Watson | 47c | 358.32$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.04 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Claire Liu | 39c | 314.65$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.67 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Heather Watson | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Claire Liu | 46c | 288.57$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Claire Liu | 51c | 279.03$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Claire Liu | 60c | 270.81$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.36 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Claire Liu | 43c | 269.36$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Claire Liu | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Claire Liu | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Heather Watson | 27c | 206.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Claire Liu | 48c | 203.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Claire Liu | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Claire Liu | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Heather Watson | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Claire Liu | 27c | 189.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Heather Watson | 19c | 183.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Claire Liu | 24c | 182.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Heather Watson | 50c | 172.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Heather Watson | 63c | 166.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heather Watson | 47c | 159.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Claire Liu | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Claire Liu | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Heather Watson | 33c | 147.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Claire Liu | 44c | 138.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Claire Liu | 36c | 136.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Heather Watson | 73c | 133.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Claire Liu | 52c | 131.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Heather Watson | 58c | 126.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Claire Liu | 13c | 120.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heather Watson | 57c | 117.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Claire Liu | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Claire Liu | 49c | 112.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Heather Watson | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…64b1backed Claire Liu | 37c | 106.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Claire Liu | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Claire Liu | 30c | 89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Heather Watson | 29c | 88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Heather Watson | 58c | 86.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…2d18backed Claire Liu | 44c | 86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Claire Liu | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…3667backed Claire Liu | 62c | 81.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…edc9backed Heather Watson | 47c | 80.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…d67ebacked Heather Watson | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Heather Watson | 41c | 74.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Heather Watson | 31c | 73.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Claire Liu | 68c | 70.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Claire Liu | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Claire Liu | 29c | 67.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Claire Liu | 28c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Heather Watson | 56c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Claire Liu | 67c | 57.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946d…8c66backed Claire Liu | 79c | 56.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 70cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Heather Watson | 27c | 56.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Heather Watson | 31c | 55.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Claire Liu | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Claire Liu | 54c | 54.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…1c3cbacked Claire Liu | 32c | 53.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Heather Watson | 38c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Claire Liu | 58c | 50.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd5…d6a3backed Heather Watson | 43c | 50.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d0…2a3abacked Claire Liu | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 164 | 37.8%62 W · 102 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…fc38backed Heather Watson | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Claire Liu | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Claire Liu vs Heather Watsonthis page
- Liu vs. Watson: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Liu vs WatsonLiu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.