TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification WTA: Janae Preston vs Nao Hibino

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nao Hibinoof Janae Preston, Nao Hibino
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f71…b2e4backed Janae Preston40c36,072$14,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,585.0522662.8%142 W · 84 L+15.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nao Hibino65c20,599$13,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,300.468,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae1…a67bbacked Janae Preston27c12,444$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.811258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Nao Hibino65c4,875$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.391,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4eb…999abacked Janae Preston41c4,236$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.693857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa466…1c77backed Janae Preston19c4,051$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.191540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Nao Hibino59c3,432$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.513,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Janae Preston29c2,776$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.3114039.3%55 W · 85 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Janae Preston36c2,684$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.0837738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Janae Preston41c2,473$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.422,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0be5…cf29backed Janae Preston21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201952.6%10 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick30cpaid+95.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Janae Preston44c1,655$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.4916561.2%101 W · 64 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Janae Preston30c1,556$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.628,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Janae Preston36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Nao Hibino64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Janae Preston36c1,490$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.41,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Janae Preston7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042332.4%137 W · 286 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nao Hibino65c1,428$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.3711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Janae Preston37c1,370$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.743,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Janae Preston34c1,342$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.144,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Nao Hibino63c1,313$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.855655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Janae Preston41c1,172$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.6715956%89 W · 70 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Janae Preston24c1,048$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.473,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nao Hibino66c1,035$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.858,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa261…af5bbacked Janae Preston18c978.33$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9613155%72 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Nao Hibino77c903.02$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.11,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Nao Hibino77c893.85$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5925764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Janae Preston45c841.56$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.064,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Nao Hibino63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.658956.2%50 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Janae Preston35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Janae Preston28c544.98$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.792,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Janae Preston16c468$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8839759.4%236 W · 161 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Janae Preston16c458$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2839159.1%231 W · 160 L+28.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Janae Preston16c455$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.835558.6%208 W · 147 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Janae Preston28c454.92$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.726,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Janae Preston35c447.22$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.81,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Janae Preston16c439$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2437460.4%226 W · 148 L+29.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Janae Preston16c432$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1236557.3%209 W · 156 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf17a…b0b7backed Janae Preston27c406.87$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5410977.1%84 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Janae Preston34c400.02$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7778838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Janae Preston31c389.21$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.914,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Janae Preston43c378.5$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.929461.7%58 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Janae Preston41c370.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3512659.5%75 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Janae Preston35c357$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.952,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Janae Preston36c351$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.367,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Janae Preston36c327.22$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.962,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Janae Preston37c314.33$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.374743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Nao Hibino68c311.35$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2652739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Janae Preston10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Nao Hibino63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1118752.9%46 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Nao Hibino64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084369.8%30 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Janae Preston6c299.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.997534.7%26 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Janae Preston37c293.56$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8734148.1%164 W · 177 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Janae Preston28c281.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.631,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Janae Preston31c279.64$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7164837.5%243 W · 405 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Janae Preston39c277.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2188358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Nao Hibino71c269.97$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.385,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Janae Preston29c235.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0924228.5%69 W · 173 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nao Hibino70c227.84$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.826,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Janae Preston28c226$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.352,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Janae Preston17c212.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6791051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Janae Preston16c204$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6447651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Janae Preston16c202.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4730353.5%162 W · 141 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bc6…1cedbacked Janae Preston5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Janae Preston16c199.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9632952.3%172 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Janae Preston16c199.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9631855.7%177 W · 141 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Janae Preston16c197.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6228852.8%152 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Janae Preston16c192.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7753657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Janae Preston16c191.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.649658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6851…ec54backed Janae Preston20c191.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7710947.7%52 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Janae Preston16c190.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4352355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Janae Preston16c189.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2636954.2%200 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0675…9e7ebacked Janae Preston35c188$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+50%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Janae Preston16c184.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5843054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Janae Preston16c184.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5851457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Janae Preston16c182.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2429554.6%161 W · 134 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Janae Preston36c181.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.432,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f20…5d31backed Janae Preston17c179$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4311653.4%62 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Janae Preston16c178.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5646155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nao Hibino75c177.01$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.714,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Janae Preston16c176.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2233855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Janae Preston30c175.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2455360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Janae Preston16c174.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8836154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Janae Preston16c170$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.244552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Nao Hibino67c169.88$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5669047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Janae Preston16c166.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5729151.9%151 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Janae Preston16c165.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4531856%178 W · 140 L+19.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Janae Preston16c161.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8846957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe809…039bbacked Nao Hibino70c154$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.781533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Nao Hibino70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4596755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Nao Hibino79c133.34$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.642,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Janae Preston32c128$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2517656.8%100 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cb…82a2backed Janae Preston19c118.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.491020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733c…521bbacked Janae Preston41c118.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.45851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Janae Preston23c110.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.413,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Janae Preston23c104.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.231,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Nao Hibino64c103.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4430648.4%148 W · 158 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Janae Preston41c100.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7142748.7%208 W · 219 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbded…48b7backed Janae Preston15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d45…1c86backed Nao Hibino56c99.58$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.585349.1%26 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.