Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Zsombor Piros vs Max Alcala Gurri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x381de5c2d7be9fab28ccf4b9970a5c9cca6c29b73718b5f0588941eed04528a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zsombor Pirosof Zsombor Piros, Max Alcala Gurri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Max Alcala Gurri | 3c | 36,240$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.78 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Max Alcala Gurri | 26c | 1,524$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.14 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Zsombor Piros | 75c | 1,097$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.19 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Zsombor Piros | 75c | 999.47$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.87 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Zsombor Piros | 74c | 988$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.88 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Zsombor Piros | 76c | 821.21$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Max Alcala Gurri | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Zsombor Piros | 75c | 585.12$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Max Alcala Gurri | 19c | 549.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Max Alcala Gurri | 25c | 528.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Max Alcala Gurri | 24c | 473.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Max Alcala Gurri | 25c | 384.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Max Alcala Gurri | 33c | 300.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Zsombor Piros | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Zsombor Piros | 80c | 270$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Zsombor Piros | 78c | 244.27$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Max Alcala Gurri | 26c | 240$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Max Alcala Gurri | 23c | 217.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Max Alcala Gurri | 22c | 217$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Zsombor Piros | 78c | 196.62$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Max Alcala Gurri | 19c | 131.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Zsombor Piros | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Zsombor Piros | 75c | 107.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Zsombor Piros | 76c | 89.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Max Alcala Gurri | 31c | 82.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Max Alcala Gurri | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Zsombor Piros | 79c | 56.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Max Alcala Gurri | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Max Alcala Gurri | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zsombor Piros | 74c | 46.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Max Alcala Gurri | 22c | 45.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Zsombor Piros | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Zsombor Piros | 75c | 25.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Zsombor Piros | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Zsombor Piros | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Zsombor Piros | 79c | 19.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Zsombor Piros | 76c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Zsombor Piros | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…8d69backed Zsombor Piros | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa806…d49dbacked Zsombor Piros | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.