Mls · resolved market
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc731c2586b3d803ea54b0528a37fa7ba97052d22664b10c30b818e0db1e5e808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 15c | 53,332$7,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,332.54 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 23,652$5,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,640.07 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 30c | 12,109$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.62 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 41c | 7,704$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.32 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 5,300$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.48 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 15c | 4,545$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.63 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 11c | 3,936$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.88 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 32c | 3,884$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.6 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 56c | 3,200$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.15 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 73c | 3,000$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 32c | 2,862$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.76 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 40c | 2,722$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.41 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 11c | 2,349$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.16 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,328$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.37 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 68c | 2,290$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.77 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,209$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.16 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 11c | 2,033$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.2 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,977$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.46 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 12c | 1,974$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.81 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 12c | 1,745$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.01 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 37c | 1,134$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.01 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 73c | 1,003$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.37 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 11c | 852$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.28 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 12c | 810.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.34 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 13c | 732.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +271.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 20c | 637.13$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.79 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 3c | 554.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 56c | 491.94$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 12c | 482.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.32 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 61c | 465.38$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.26 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 59c | 434.68$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.05 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 60c | 434.48$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 11c | 429.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.01 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 45c | 412.47$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.15 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 411.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.04 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…ce8bbacked Yes | 11c | 363.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +169%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Yes | 15c | 358.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +300.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Yes | 15c | 341.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +304.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Yes | 15c | 336$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Yes | 12c | 331.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Yes | 15c | 330.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 26cpaid | +348.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 34c | 328.23$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.09 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Yes | 15c | 312$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +165.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.73 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 12c | 245.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.72 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 71c | 208$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.33 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 36c | 207$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 10c | 174$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…9682backed Yes | 12c | 165.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 45c | 158.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 15c | 154$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.18 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 23c | 150.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Yes | 11c | 140$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.51 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 13c | 138$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 54c | 137.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Yes | 13c | 134.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed No | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…7217backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Yes | 11c | 119.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Yes | 12c | 109.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Yes | 77c | 101.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 56c | 95.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 16c | 88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 22c | 77.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 56c | 71.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 37c | 58.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…9facbacked Yes | 62c | 51.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Yes | 45c | 42.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 68c | 39.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 76c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 73c | 27.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 21.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 77c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 57c | 19.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Yes | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed No | 64c | 16.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 59cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.