Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf50d83de4f19a0e9188761d8378683d8f74269b3332377b89cf5bf0a324e1ff8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 5,884$4,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.84 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 29c | 1,948$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.62 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 24c | 1,844$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.67 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 16c | 1,198$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.61 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 22c | 732.04$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 16c | 630.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…a41dbacked Yes | 6c | 359$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…34c9backed Yes | 16c | 355.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 31c | 318.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 15c | 316$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 25c | 257.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 15c | 246$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 16c | 245.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 196.32$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 26c | 163.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…a7a3backed Yes | 29c | 155.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 18c | 110.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Yes | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 15c | 106$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 26c | 105.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 15c | 97.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes | 25c | 91.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 72c | 90.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 74c | 87.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…2226backed Yes | 25c | 76.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 28c | 74.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 19c | 71.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 26c | 55.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 77c | 47.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 43.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 37.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 73c | 23.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.