Tennis · resolved market
Braunschweig: Rudolf Molleker vs Facundo Acosta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0754781f968849e6ee1d6bea480891f998220d6eec7628568cfb882fc6bcab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Acostaof Rudolf Molleker, Facundo Acosta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rudolf Molleker | 4c | 8,576$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.24 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rudolf Molleker | 19c | 3,927$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.13 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 3,710$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.6 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Facundo Acosta | 69c | 3,448$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 1,691$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.06 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Facundo Acosta | 72c | 1,459$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.02 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Rudolf Molleker | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Rudolf Molleker | 12c | 1,331$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Facundo Acosta | 80c | 999.71$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.12 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Rudolf Molleker | 22c | 981.96$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.71 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Rudolf Molleker | 14c | 855.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.19 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Facundo Acosta | 74c | 760.8$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.24 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Rudolf Molleker | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rudolf Molleker | 28c | 577.89$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Facundo Acosta | 67c | 551.63$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.26 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rudolf Molleker | 23c | 503.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…d030backed Rudolf Molleker | 31c | 488.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Rudolf Molleker | 21c | 453.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Facundo Acosta | 78c | 376.56$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Rudolf Molleker | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Rudolf Molleker | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Rudolf Molleker | 8c | 274.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 261.97$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Rudolf Molleker | 29c | 239.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Facundo Acosta | 80c | 225$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Rudolf Molleker | 27c | 221.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Rudolf Molleker | 32c | 216$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Rudolf Molleker | 22c | 215.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Rudolf Molleker | 16c | 213.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rudolf Molleker | 16c | 201.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Rudolf Molleker | 31c | 178$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Rudolf Molleker | 22c | 173.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Rudolf Molleker | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Facundo Acosta | 67c | 149.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rudolf Molleker | 10c | 144.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Rudolf Molleker | 29c | 138.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Facundo Acosta | 71c | 132.04$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Rudolf Molleker | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Rudolf Molleker | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Facundo Acosta | 77c | 112$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Rudolf Molleker | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rudolf Molleker | 25c | 99.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rudolf Molleker | 22c | 98.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Rudolf Molleker | 25c | 94.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Facundo Acosta | 75c | 89.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Rudolf Molleker | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rudolf Molleker | 19c | 83.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Rudolf Molleker | 21c | 82.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Facundo Acosta | 71c | 81.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Rudolf Molleker | 37c | 80.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Rudolf Molleker | 22c | 75.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Facundo Acosta | 78c | 74.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Rudolf Molleker | 21c | 69.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Facundo Acosta | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Rudolf Molleker | 26c | 61.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Rudolf Molleker | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Facundo Acosta | 76c | 50.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Rudolf Molleker | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Rudolf Molleker | 28c | 45.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Facundo Acosta | 67c | 44.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Facundo Acosta | 72c | 44.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rudolf Molleker | 25c | 40.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…e477backed Facundo Acosta | 69c | 36.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…87b1backed Facundo Acosta | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Facundo Acosta | 60c | 33.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Facundo Acosta | 77c | 30.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Facundo Acosta | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Facundo Acosta | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Facundo Acosta | 77c | 25.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Facundo Acosta | 70c | 24.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Facundo Acosta | 78c | 17.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42fe…b1d0backed Facundo Acosta | 74c | 14.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braunschweig: Rudolf Molleker vs Facundo Acostathis page
- Molleker vs. Acosta: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Molleker vs AcostaAcosta won
- Set Handicap: Acosta (-1.5) vs Molleker (+1.5)Molleker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.