Tennis · resolved market
Braunschweig: Niels McDonald vs Martin Krumich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cf1e28bbfee9ba6342813129b8544ee17ee9b6ecea1d3dc20795fe132e396ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niels McDonaldof Niels McDonald, Martin Krumich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Martin Krumich | 51c | 71,713$36,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,355.97 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Martin Krumich | 31c | 61,322$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Niels McDonald | 71c | 59,798$42,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,075.63 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Martin Krumich | 26c | 29,873$7,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,891.17 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Niels McDonald | 69c | 19,776$13,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,147.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Niels McDonald | 50c | 14,976$7,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,562.75 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Niels McDonald | 49c | 13,768$6,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,052.28 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Niels McDonald | 49c | 11,553$5,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,892.03 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Martin Krumich | 18c | 8,611$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Niels McDonald | 77c | 8,059$6,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.61 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Martin Krumich | 9c | 5,727$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.02 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Martin Krumich | 55c | 5,404$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Niels McDonald | 70c | 4,097$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.98 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Martin Krumich | 37c | 4,055$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Niels McDonald | 50c | 3,895$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.5 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Niels McDonald | 59c | 3,131$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.86 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Niels McDonald | 50c | 2,555$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.51 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Niels McDonald | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Niels McDonald | 49c | 2,454$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.58 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Niels McDonald | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Niels McDonald | 58c | 2,402$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.16 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Martin Krumich | 25c | 2,163$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Niels McDonald | 50c | 2,034$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.18 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…4d07backed Martin Krumich | 19c | 1,900$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Niels McDonald | 48c | 1,714$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.25 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Niels McDonald | 47c | 1,615$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.95 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Niels McDonald | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Niels McDonald | 76c | 1,390$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.58 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Niels McDonald | 71c | 1,309$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.7 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Niels McDonald | 66c | 1,243$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.19 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Niels McDonald | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.48 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Niels McDonald | 50c | 1,224$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.36 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40bb…567dbacked Niels McDonald | 72c | 1,204$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.04 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Niels McDonald | 58c | 1,120$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.83 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Niels McDonald | 50c | 1,022$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Niels McDonald | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.4 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Niels McDonald | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Martin Krumich | 21c | 999.82$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.78 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Niels McDonald | 47c | 993.13$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.36 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Martin Krumich | 53c | 941.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Martin Krumich | 22c | 876.94$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.62 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…d0b6backed Martin Krumich | 37c | 808.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Martin Krumich | 54c | 780.67$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.32 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Niels McDonald | 48c | 749.99$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.3 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Martin Krumich | 54c | 736.94$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.95 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Martin Krumich | 8c | 736.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Niels McDonald | 47c | 638.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.27 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Martin Krumich | 30c | 634.39$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Martin Krumich | 28c | 634.13$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Niels McDonald | 50c | 615$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…f07abacked Martin Krumich | 30c | 611.44$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Niels McDonald | 50c | 578.72$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.04 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Martin Krumich | 53c | 538$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.14 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Niels McDonald | 74c | 520$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Niels McDonald | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Martin Krumich | 54c | 459.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Niels McDonald | 56c | 443.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.01 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Niels McDonald | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Niels McDonald | 50c | 399.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Niels McDonald | 50c | 384.48$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Niels McDonald | 50c | 382.33$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.78 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Niels McDonald | 72c | 344.28$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Martin Krumich | 15c | 337.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Niels McDonald | 46c | 335.12$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Martin Krumich | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Martin Krumich | 39c | 321.91$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Niels McDonald | 47c | 315.02$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.96 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Niels McDonald | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Martin Krumich | 48c | 306.6$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Martin Krumich | 8c | 305.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Martin Krumich | 5c | 304.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Niels McDonald | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Martin Krumich | 51c | 299.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Niels McDonald | 48c | 297$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Niels McDonald | 74c | 295.07$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Niels McDonald | 69c | 288$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Niels McDonald | 47c | 280$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Martin Krumich | 7c | 271.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Martin Krumich | 52c | 268.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Martin Krumich | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Niels McDonald | 49c | 253.61$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…d00fbacked Niels McDonald | 49c | 248.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Niels McDonald | 49c | 239.41$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Niels McDonald | 50c | 237.96$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…df46backed Martin Krumich | 40c | 225.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Martin Krumich | 27c | 224.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Martin Krumich | 48c | 222.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Niels McDonald | 48c | 218$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Niels McDonald | 70c | 205.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Niels McDonald | 73c | 205.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Niels McDonald | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Niels McDonald | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Martin Krumich | 32c | 202.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Niels McDonald | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | +15.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Niels McDonald | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Martin Krumich | 7c | 182.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Martin Krumich | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Martin Krumich | 12c | 178.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Niels McDonald | 47c | 175.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Niels McDonald | 71c | 171.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braunschweig: Niels McDonald vs Martin Krumichthis page
- McDonald vs. Krumich: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.