Tennis · resolved market
ITF Laval: Matthew Thomson vs Benjamin Thomas George
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89852b3b58bacb011ecd75e4a975c2ecf7f740dccfedde78da187ef812c4952e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthew Thomsonof Matthew Thomson, Benjamin Thomas George
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Benjamin Thomas George | 50c | 1,615$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.38 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Matthew Thomson | 46c | 1,423$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.27 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Matthew Thomson | 60c | 492.68$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.13 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Benjamin Thomas George | 37c | 81.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Benjamin Thomas George | 39c | 78.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Matthew Thomson | 49c | 57.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Benjamin Thomas George | 34c | 54.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Benjamin Thomas George | 57c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Benjamin Thomas George | 74c | 41.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Matthew Thomson | 41c | 36.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Matthew Thomson | 43c | 34.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matthew Thomson | 61c | 34.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Benjamin Thomas George | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Matthew Thomson | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Benjamin Thomas George | 58c | 28.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Benjamin Thomas George | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Benjamin Thomas George | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Benjamin Thomas George | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Benjamin Thomas George | 57c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…87b1backed Matthew Thomson | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Benjamin Thomas George | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Matthew Thomson | 72c | 16.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.