WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51b3013982097ed11aa93039dc521f984f0525c07f4dcef432d3eb6765f87c38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Phoenix Mercury, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 86,000$42,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,743.29 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 35,997$18,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,172.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 29,007$14,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,532.71 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 28,921$14,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,460.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 24,934$12,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,329.05 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 18,670$9,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,335.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 17,867$8,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,933.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 10,833$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300.06 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 10,009$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,006.45 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 8,888$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.23 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 8,794$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.3 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 7,632$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.68 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 6,591$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.96 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 6,580$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.49 | 327 | 49.5%162 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 6,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 5,222$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.15 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 4,183$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.54 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 4,020$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.2 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 3,865$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.73 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 3,048$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…e3d7backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 2,736$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.8 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.14 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 2,485$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.47 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 1,887$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.26 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…e11ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 1,851$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Sky | 59c | 1,521$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.1 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 1,344$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.14 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 1,306$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.95 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 1,124$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.28 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 1,066$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.8 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…af8bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 971.48$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 922.95$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.22 | 348 | 26.4%92 W · 256 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 901$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.48 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 854.75$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.83 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 827.5$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.75 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Chicago Sky | 61c | 745.36$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.23 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…fdd4backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 718.12$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.24 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 553$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 539$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.97 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 371.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 360$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 338.08$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.28 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 323.13$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.81 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 314$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 304.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 231.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 222.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 210.27$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 209.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 195.02$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.12 | 314 | 43%135 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 190.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 164.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 164$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Chicago Sky | 60c | 164$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Chicago Sky | 63c | 157.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Chicago Sky | 59c | 149.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 131.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 128.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 113$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 107.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 103.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…f4ddbacked Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 87.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…a77cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 81.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 80.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Chicago Sky | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 77.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 76.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Chicago Sky | 60c | 75.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 74.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 67.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 64.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 57.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…ba00backed Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago Sky | 73c | 50.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…a075backed Chicago Sky | 59c | 50.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 49.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Sky | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Chicago Sky | 61c | 41.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix MercuryChicago Sky won
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 172.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.