WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafbf8a3be8f01c93eafaeb4e89049653c406b9ef010015a787f0ca89ca35b7c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Over | 50c | 10,558$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.12 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 8,888$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,444 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 2,829$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.71 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 2,070$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.69 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 1,504$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.8 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 1,335$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.3 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…415abacked Over | 52c | 1,068$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 894.31$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.56 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 700.42$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.67 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 49c | 579.98$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.19 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 51c | 521$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.71 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 380.74$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 54c | 299.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.02 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Under | 53c | 197.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…7e45backed Under | 79c | 161$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 76cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 46c | 129.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 126.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 29c | 117.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…4024backed Over | 50c | 86.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 51c | 86.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 76.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Under | 71c | 70.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 67.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 51c | 67.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 25c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 22c | 57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 55.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 62c | 54.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 40c | 50.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 50.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 61c | 45.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 45c | 44.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 35c | 43.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Over | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 50c | 31.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 31.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…749dbacked Under | 51c | 28.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…6d0abacked Under | 78c | 27.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 60c | 26.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 61c | 19.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 172.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix MercuryChicago Sky won
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.