WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3f552cccdd83ce36df6d073283c36ddc0fecaf03454a6dc2399a617b20bd2e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 2,343$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.52 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 685.34$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.11 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 16c | 548.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 42c | 344.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 263.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 71c | 247.59$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 76c | 235.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Under | 74c | 202.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016a…6f6fbacked Under | 50c | 152.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 27c | 118.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 72c | 109.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 57c | 106.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 43c | 104.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 21c | 100.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Over | 42c | 63.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Under | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 58.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 29c | 37.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 22.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…ac03backed Under | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix MercuryChicago Sky won
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 172.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.