Tennis · resolved market
ITF Dallas: Jie Cui vs Matthew Forbes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x797933414e3b4451b570a9cdc2ea673fb9e1a525422c5c0abc37dede2060b43e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthew Forbesof Jie Cui, Matthew Forbes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Jie Cui | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Matthew Forbes | 60c | 1,907$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.5 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Matthew Forbes | 33c | 1,775$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.13 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Jie Cui | 35c | 1,569$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.6 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Matthew Forbes | 39c | 1,020$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.47 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Jie Cui | 33c | 914.83$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jie Cui | 36c | 762.91$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.56 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Jie Cui | 49c | 603.65$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.79 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Matthew Forbes | 36c | 602.68$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.49 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Matthew Forbes | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Jie Cui | 36c | 501.67$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Matthew Forbes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Jie Cui | 36c | 411.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jie Cui | 39c | 246.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Matthew Forbes | 35c | 145.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Matthew Forbes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Matthew Forbes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Matthew Forbes | 35c | 122.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Matthew Forbes | 36c | 118.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Matthew Forbes | 41c | 113.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Jie Cui | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Matthew Forbes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Matthew Forbes | 74c | 96.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Jie Cui | 50c | 96.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jie Cui | 28c | 93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Matthew Forbes | 76c | 93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jie Cui | 56c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Matthew Forbes | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Matthew Forbes | 36c | 52.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Matthew Forbes | 38c | 47.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Jie Cui | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Matthew Forbes | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Matthew Forbes | 63c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Jie Cui | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…87b1backed Matthew Forbes | 58c | 28.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Matthew Forbes | 43c | 25.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jie Cui | 57c | 23.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Jie Cui | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Jie Cui | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Jie Cui | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Jie Cui | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Jie Cui | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.