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Tennis · resolved market

Nottingham 3: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Filip Jeff Planinsekof Filip Jeff Planinsek, Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d96…7c16backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.998045%36 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes9c4,364$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.889,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Filip Jeff Planinsek44c4,082$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.444,62667.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L+310.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes62c3,639$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.398241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8603,89135%1,362 W · 2,529 L+93.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Filip Jeff Planinsek38c2,534$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.54,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek39c1,959$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.136,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes53c1,651$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.0111,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes62c1,492$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.47749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.929,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Filip Jeff Planinsek35c862.13$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.495,35228.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L-21.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes60c826.42$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.894,27745%1,925 W · 2,352 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes55c628.47$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.488,83442.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L-169.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Filip Jeff Planinsek38c599.98$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.67,12939.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L-14.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes43c522.88$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4622033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Filip Jeff Planinsek60c458.16$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.23,19557.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L+178.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Filip Jeff Planinsek37c376.76$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.182,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes27c370.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Filip Jeff Planinsek77c328.92$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8792145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Filip Jeff Planinsek37c288.44$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7639149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Filip Jeff Planinsek37c284.95$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.321,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek77c279.25$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.16,64946.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L-38.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes42c276.55$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.935,45556.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L+234.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Filip Jeff Planinsek38c241.49$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9716040%64 W · 96 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Filip Jeff Planinsek43c233.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.995237.7%359 W · 593 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Filip Jeff Planinsek37c219.93$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.342,28642.9%980 W · 1,306 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek38c218.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7796945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Filip Jeff Planinsek71c209.18$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.92,07846.7%970 W · 1,108 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Filip Jeff Planinsek49c202.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.432,63946.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes61c180.34$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9911149.5%55 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Filip Jeff Planinsek44c162$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.262,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes42c160$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.24,99238.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L-19.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Filip Jeff Planinsek38c157.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8945142.8%193 W · 258 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Filip Jeff Planinsek39c145.03$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4716755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Filip Jeff Planinsek37c139.61$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.981,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Filip Jeff Planinsek43c127.65$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.42,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes61c121.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.781,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Filip Jeff Planinsek38c120$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.457049.1%280 W · 290 L+24.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek42c116.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.181,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf9…8292backed Filip Jeff Planinsek38c116.45$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.259357.8%343 W · 250 L+21.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes60c105.81$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.51,98146.2%916 W · 1,065 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Filip Jeff Planinsek38c105.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.651,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek37c104$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.838,05750.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L+90.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes57c99.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9924740.1%99 W · 148 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes64c78.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes64c69.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5432546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes28c61.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.331,13356.8%643 W · 490 L+54.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes62c61.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.061,07357.4%616 W · 457 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek46c60.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7327363.4%173 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Filip Jeff Planinsek41c60.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5619656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5939451.3%202 W · 192 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51,27445%573 W · 701 L-2.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d8…400bbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek38c48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8134627.7%96 W · 250 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes59c40.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.771,89257.5%1,087 W · 805 L+105.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes60c38.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0437453.7%201 W · 173 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes61c38.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5458145.6%265 W · 316 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Filip Jeff Planinsek37c38.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2162949.4%311 W · 318 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0515…f02bbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek41c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.712548%12 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ed…87b1backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes60c33.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.962445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes64c32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.482,55436.3%928 W · 1,626 L-23.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Filip Jeff Planinsek37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.811,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Filip Jeff Planinsek58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6335349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…ed0dbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7532452.5%170 W · 154 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Filip Jeff Planinsek37c29.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6254746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes42c29.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3879646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Filip Jeff Planinsek38c29.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.042,54838.5%982 W · 1,566 L+96.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Filip Jeff Planinsek44c28.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82,34752.1%1,223 W · 1,124 L+86.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4462…bfdfbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes56c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518147%85 W · 96 L-24.1wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes53c24.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.191,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes62c23.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.592,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Filip Jeff Planinsek64c22.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.91,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x326d…3584backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes59c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3118433.2%61 W · 123 L-40.4wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.3%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes65c18.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0118038.3%69 W · 111 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.