WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf2c7050c3784d827b4fcb65723ce17ac58983c619193f672b03a9822f96a83d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 7,544$4,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.21 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 2,397$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.28 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 1,890$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.4 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 1,738$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.93 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Washington Mystics | 38c | 1,383$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 1,015$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.2 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 881.67$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.96 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 860.67$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.88 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 840.91$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 783$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 593.31$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.89 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 511.27$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.52 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 505$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.35 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 487.8$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.02 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 482.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 462.13$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 335.65$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.29 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…1c26backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 216$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 160.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 130.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 125.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 117.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 71.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 67.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 60.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Golden State Valkyries | 33c | 41.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 33.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 29.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington MysticsGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 154.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 155.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 157.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 158.5Under won
- Sonia Citron: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.