Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dc7c1f88a2fbac7fedff51b6a6a514982bcc5c4d98404a3ecfcc329832a17f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof KRÜ Spark, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA | 70c | 1,162$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.09 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BESTIA | 62c | 997.74$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.92 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked KRÜ Spark | 39c | 761.92$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.15 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KRÜ Spark | 21c | 453.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KRÜ Spark | 24c | 420.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KRÜ Spark | 39c | 196.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked BESTIA | 55c | 193.34$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked KRÜ Spark | 30c | 102.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KRÜ Spark | 34c | 98.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed KRÜ Spark | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed BESTIA | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f6…cb46backed KRÜ Spark | 43c | 42.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…fb93backed KRÜ Spark | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…1feebacked BESTIA | 52c | 29.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked KRÜ Spark | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked KRÜ Spark | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…a758backed BESTIA | 71c | 17.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular SeasonKRÜ Spark won
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerKRÜ Spark won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.