CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs AaB Bulls - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe1696fd763bb39f9b62470607851ddd8471782a8e5d4dcec407839f568ceb69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fortressof Fortress, AaB Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf268…ecf6backed Fortress | 44c | 1,799$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.73 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked AaB Bulls | 36c | 1,666$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.61 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked AaB Bulls | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Fortress | 77c | 901.5$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…c3e7backed Fortress | 45c | 644.57$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed AaB Bulls | 55c | 209.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Fortress | 52c | 187.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 222 | 56.8%126 W · 96 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked AaB Bulls | 65c | 170.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed AaB Bulls | 53c | 166.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fortress | 71c | 137.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed AaB Bulls | 75c | 132$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed AaB Bulls | 32c | 114.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fortress | 70c | 101.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked AaB Bulls | 60c | 66.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Fortress | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked AaB Bulls | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed AaB Bulls | 48c | 41.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked AaB Bulls | 31c | 41.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed AaB Bulls | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked AaB Bulls | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Fortress | 50c | 35.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked AaB Bulls | 51c | 35.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fortress | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed AaB Bulls | 55c | 25.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed AaB Bulls | 52c | 22.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked AaB Bulls | 59c | 20.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed AaB Bulls | 79c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs AaB Bulls - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs AaB Bulls (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 PlayoffsFortress won
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs AaB Bulls - Map 1 WinnerFortress won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.