CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x323cab7cdbc5ce356f013a718d5ca3388ccf9dd06bc2d1d0fc317f8359da48f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed TDK | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 48c | 737.97$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Walczaki | 36c | 679.13$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.24 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked TDK | 40c | 503.12$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.59 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Walczaki | 47c | 429.53$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TDK | 55c | 348.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Walczaki | 57c | 318.63$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.94 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Walczaki | 49c | 292$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked TDK | 66c | 279.4$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked TDK | 43c | 249.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki | 43c | 249.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Walczaki | 50c | 242.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked TDK | 59c | 226.88$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 43c | 165.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked TDK | 64c | 159.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked TDK | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked TDK | 52c | 139.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki | 37c | 134.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed TDK | 66c | 130.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TDK | 55c | 114.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked TDK | 52c | 95.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Walczaki | 33c | 91.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked TDK | 67c | 81.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Walczaki | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed TDK | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed TDK | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed TDK | 54c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed TDK | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TDK | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed TDK | 61c | 52.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Walczaki | 29c | 51.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed TDK | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed TDK | 55c | 49.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki | 41c | 47.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Walczaki | 39c | 40.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki | 39c | 35.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Walczaki | 39c | 31.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Walczaki | 53c | 25.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TDK | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Walczaki | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Walczaki | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…ea33backed Walczaki | 57c | 19.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 PlayoffsWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)Walczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.