CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cc8933c6cb4bce4ac9234bc5a9d51445b061ce045dba67b7cd2593ad72ae304
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof TDK, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eac…e409backed TDK | 34c | 682.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.31 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 63c | 372.72$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 69c | 355.18$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Walczaki | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed TDK | 66c | 234$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.21 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked TDK | 17c | 217.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked TDK | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked TDK | 27c | 199.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked TDK | 31c | 153.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Walczaki | 73c | 125.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed TDK | 19c | 119.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Walczaki | 58c | 114.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TDK | 26c | 96.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Walczaki | 74c | 94.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 22c | 87.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked TDK | 64c | 77.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed TDK | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Walczaki | 76c | 61.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…33d0backed TDK | 35c | 54.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked TDK | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Walczaki | 73c | 43.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed TDK | 44c | 41.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed TDK | 30c | 35.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Walczaki | 62c | 22.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Walczaki | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 PlayoffsWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)Walczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.