CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Phantom - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2297f2e2d138779ee91678883f76aec4610d72f381b578b34398b7ed94613d08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof JiJieHao, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked JiJieHao | 43c | 1,973$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.58 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed JiJieHao | 43c | 1,015$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.58 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed JiJieHao | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked JiJieHao | 38c | 807.9$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.59 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom | 60c | 664.81$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.25 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom | 73c | 328.72$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Phantom | 36c | 159.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked JiJieHao | 25c | 127$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Phantom | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Phantom | 74c | 116$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked JiJieHao | 31c | 111.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Phantom | 35c | 111.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Phantom | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 69c | 108.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Phantom | 74c | 90.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Phantom | 65c | 86.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed JiJieHao | 34c | 80.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Phantom | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed JiJieHao | 46c | 77.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed JiJieHao | 21c | 74.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Phantom | 60c | 68.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 64c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed JiJieHao | 38c | 60.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Phantom | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Phantom | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Phantom | 58c | 51.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed JiJieHao | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad9…47e5backed Phantom | 53c | 49.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Phantom | 65c | 48.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed JiJieHao | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Phantom | 53c | 37.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Phantom | 54c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked JiJieHao | 42c | 35.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom | 73c | 32.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e3…8cb6backed Phantom | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Phantom | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Phantom | 67c | 23.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Phantom | 57c | 22.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: JJH (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.